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Les Français sont-ils prudents ? Patrimoine et risque sur les revenus des ménages

Author

Listed:
  • Luc Arrondel

    (PSE - Paris School of Economics, PJSE - Paris-Jourdan Sciences Economiques - ENS Paris - École normale supérieure - Paris - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Hector Calvo Pardo

    (School of Social Sciences - Economics division - University of Southampton [Southampton])

Abstract

Precautionary saving was first modelled by Leland (1968), Sandmo (1970) and Drèze & Modigliani (1972), and then later by Kimball (1993). The measure of savers' prudence in reaction to an exogenous income risk has been the subject of a large empirical literature, which has yet to reach a consensus. One approach uses simulation methods to calibrate theoretical models on real data, and concludes that about half of all saving is precautionary, while econometric work on the same problem produces much lower figures for the share of precautionary saving of between 1% and 20%. The main goal of this paper is to quantify the extent of precautionary saving by French savers who face risks regarding their future income. The empirical analysis is based on data from the INSEE "Patrimoine 2004" survey. The measures of income risk are subjective, and reported directly by the respondent with respect to the next five years. These cover the risk of job loss and other potential income movements. We find only a modest degree of precautionary saving in this French sample. While the results depend to an extent on the type of wealth under consideration, the measure of the risks faced, and the estimation method, the share of precautionary saving only rarely exceeds 10%.

Suggested Citation

  • Luc Arrondel & Hector Calvo Pardo, 2008. "Les Français sont-ils prudents ? Patrimoine et risque sur les revenus des ménages," PSE Working Papers halshs-00585994, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:psewpa:halshs-00585994
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00585994
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Thomas Blanchet & Yves Dubois & Anthony Marino & Muriel Roger, 2016. "Patrimoine privé et retraite en France," Revue française d'économie, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(1), pages 207-244.
    2. Céline Antonin, 2009. "Age, revenu et comportements d'épargne des ménages : une analyse théorique et empirique sur la période 1978-2006," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/5l6uh8ogmqi, Sciences Po.
    3. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/5l6uh8ogmqildh09h6m8hj429 is not listed on IDEAS

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