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Sobre a inexistente relação entre política industrial e comércio exterior

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  • Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti

Abstract

Ao contrário do que se encontra na literatura internacional, em nosso país a defesa da intervenção governamental para promoção da atividade industrial está, via de regra, associada à necessidade de melhoria de nossas contas externas. Este artigo discute possíveis elos entre política industrial e comércio exterior, centrando em argumentos comumente encontrados no debate de crescimento e de apoio à indústria no Brasil. Discutiremos a racionalidade destes argumentos tanto do ponto de vista macroeconômico quanto microeconômico, e mostraremos que, enquanto no primeiro caso há graves inconsistências lógicas e teóricas, no segundo a evidência é amplamente desfavorável ou os argumentos em geral não se aplicam. Discutiremos também se experiências internacionais de crescimento rápido (e de expansão de comércio exterior) podem ser creditadas a políticas industriais e se estas podem ser facilmente reproduzidas no país. Nosso diagnóstico aqui também é pessimista

Suggested Citation

  • Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti, 2005. "Sobre a inexistente relação entre política industrial e comércio exterior," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 601, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    • Handle: RePEc:fgv:epgewp:601
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