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Os efeitos da poupança pública sobre o crescimento econômico:

  • Ribeiro, Thiago
  • Pereira, Luiz Carlos Bresser

This article analyzed the relations between public savings and economic growth. Initially, theoretician-descriptive analysis of these relations showed that the public savings is a more complete pointer of fiscal sustainability than the primary surplus and tends to present more positive effect on the product than the operational surplus. The estimated equations and the tests of robustness of the results of the posterior econometrical analysis, that used models of multiple regression for a panel of 38 nations, had proven, at high confidence levels, the hypothesis of positive relation between public savings and and per capita economic growth taxes – indicating the direction of causalidade between them –, besides supplying consistent and interesting results about the form of association between development and other variables. The central conclusion was that an increase of a unit in the public savings tax must lead, in average, to a rise of 0,17 units in the per capita economic growth tax

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File URL: http://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br/dspace/bitstream/10438/2606/1/TD+171+Bresser-Pereira.pdf
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Paper provided by Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil) in its series Textos para discussão with number 171.

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Date of creation: 18 Mar 2009
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Handle: RePEc:fgv:eesptd:171
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  1. Easterly, William & Rebelo, Sergio, 1993. "Fiscal policy and economic growth: An empirical investigation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 417-458, December.
  2. Kneller, Richard & Bleaney, Michael F. & Gemmell, Norman, 1999. "Fiscal policy and growth: evidence from OECD countries," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(2), pages 171-190, November.
  3. Folster, Stefan & Henrekson, Magnus, 1999. "Growth and the public sector: a critique of the critics," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 337-358, June.
  4. Robert J. Barro, 1996. "Determinants of Economic Growth: A Cross-Country Empirical Study," NBER Working Papers 5698, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Demetriades, Panicos O & Mamuneas, Theofanis P, 2000. "Intertemporal Output and Employment Effects of Public Infrastructure Capital: Evidence from 12 OECD Economics," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 110(465), pages 687-712, July.
  6. Robert J. Barro & Jong-Wha Lee, 2000. "International Data on Educational Attainment: Updates and Implications," CID Working Papers 42, Center for International Development at Harvard University.
  7. Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke & Richard S. Grossman & Madalina A. Ursu, 2013. "A monthly stock exchange index for Ireland, 1864-1930," Economics Series Working Papers 120, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
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