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An Experimental Analysis of the Brazilian Personal Credit Market

  • Cláudio Ribeiro de Lucinda
  • Rodrigo Luiz Vieira

Este artigo tem por objetivo investigar algumas questões importantes sobre a demanda por crédito pessoal em um grupo que não é muito estudado na literatura acadêmica: a classe média em um grande mercado emergente, o Brasil. Para isto, foi usada uma base de dados de um experimento feito por um grande emissor de cartões de crédito, em que ofertas com diferentes taxas de juros foram enviadas aleatoriamente para clientes em dois grupos diferentes – um deles de renda mediana de USD 20 mil, e outro de USD 8 mil. Foi investigada a sensibilidade a juros da demanda por crédito, tanto na margem extensiva e intensiva, assim como a existência de problemas de seleção adversa e risco moral. Em termos dos resultados, a demanda é mais sensível a taxa de juros para o grupo de renda mais alta, os dois grupos apresentam evidências de seleção adversa em observáveis e os problemas de risco moral podem ser mais importantes para o grupo de renda mais baixa.

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Paper provided by Universidade de São Paulo, Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade de Ribeirão Preto in its series Working Papers with number 10-2011.

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Date of creation: 2011
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Handle: RePEc:fea:wpaper:10-2011
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  1. Dean S. Karlan & Jonathan Zinman, 2008. "Credit Elasticities in Less-Developed Economies: Implications for Microfinance," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(3), pages 1040-68, June.
  2. Alessie, Rob & Hochguertel, Stefan & Weber, Guglielmo, 2001. "Consumer Credit: Evidence from Italian Micro Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 3071, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  3. Dehejia, Rajeev & Montgomery, Heather & Morduch, Jonathan, 2005. "Do interest rates matter? credit demand in the Dhaka Slums," MPRA Paper 33146, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  4. Alan, Sule & Dumitrescu, Ruxandra & Loranth, Gyongyi, 2011. "Subprime consumer credit demand: evidence from a lender's pricing experiment," Working Paper Series 1304, European Central Bank.
  5. Karlan, Dean & Gine, Xavier, 2009. "Group versus Individual Liability: Long Term Evidence from Philippine Microcredit Lending Groups," Working Papers 61, Yale University, Department of Economics.
  6. David B. Gross & Nicholas S. Souleles, 2001. "Do Liquidity Constraints and Interest Rates Matter for Consumer Behavior? Evidence from Credit Card Data," NBER Working Papers 8314, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Xavier Giné & Dean Karlan, 2009. "Group versus Individual Liability: Long Term Evidence from Philippine Microcredit Lending Groups," Working Papers 970, Economic Growth Center, Yale University.
  8. Dean S. Karlan & Jonathan Zinman, 2005. "Observing Unobservables: Identifying Information Asymmetries with a Consumer Credit Field Experiment," Working Papers 911, Economic Growth Center, Yale University.
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