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Bienes comerciables y no comerciables en la economía española: Un enfoque de ciclo real

  • José Mª Martín Moreno
  • Jesús Ruiz

En este trabajo se analizan las consecuencias de incorporar bienes comerciables, no comerciables y de inversión en un modelo de ciclo real para una economía abierta y pequeña aplicado a la economía española. La simulaciones estocásticas del modelo bajo el supuesto de expectativas racionales y su comparación con los datos de la economía española muestran que el modelo teórico explica algunos hechos estilizados de dicha economía como son: i) el puzzle Dolado et al. es decir, la alta volatilidad del consumo privado para nuestra economía, y ii) las características cíclicas del fenómeno conocido como “inflación dual”. Además el modelo teórico explica adecuadamente gran parte de las otras propiedades cíclicas de las variables macroeconómicas españolas tanto a nivel agregado como sectorial.

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Paper provided by FEDEA in its series Studies on the Spanish Economy with number 206.

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Handle: RePEc:fda:fdaeee:206
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  11. Rebelo, Sérgio, 1995. "Real Effects of Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilization: An Analysis of Competing Theories," CEPR Discussion Papers 1220, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  12. Blanchard, Olivier Jean & Kahn, Charles M, 1980. "The Solution of Linear Difference Models under Rational Expectations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(5), pages 1305-11, July.
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