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Risk perceptions and protective behaviors at the onset and outset of the COVID-19 pandemic

Author

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  • Costa-Font, Joan
  • Rossello-Roig, Melcior
  • Rudisill, Caroline
  • Salmasi, Luca

Abstract

We study the formation of risk perceptions— subjective probability beliefs— of three adverse events—COVID-19 contagion, influenza contagion, and food poisoning—at the onset (2020) and outset (2023) of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. We show that perceived risk levels for COVID-19 are similar to those for influenza, are not significantly influenced by proximity to infection, and are shaped instead by an individual’s gender, education, and employment status. Using an instrumental variable strategy, we assess whether these perceptions influence a number of protective behaviors. We find that although risk perceptions are associated with various protective behaviors, they only causally increase the likelihood of phone or online medical consultations by about a percentage point.

Suggested Citation

  • Costa-Font, Joan & Rossello-Roig, Melcior & Rudisill, Caroline & Salmasi, Luca, 2026. "Risk perceptions and protective behaviors at the onset and outset of the COVID-19 pandemic," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 138674, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:138674
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    File URL: https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/138674/
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

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