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Consumption insurance and credit shocks

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  • Stefan Wöhrmüller

Abstract

This paper studies how credit shocks affect the pass-through of idiosyncratic productivity shocks to consumption. Using a heterogeneous-agent incomplete-markets model I simulate two different credit shock dynamics as observed in credit panel data, a permanent and a mean-reverting one, and measure consumption insurance along the entire transition path. I show that consumption insurance against idiosyncratic productivity shocks drops on impact for both kind of credit shocks, while they imply qualitative different consumption insurance paths in the medium run. Importantly, I find that these paths differ by current wealth holdings. Asset-poor households experience the largest decrease in consumption insurance, whereas asset-rich households actually have access to more consumption insurance subsequent to a credit shock. Finally, endogenous labor supply attenuates these dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Wöhrmüller, 2025. "Consumption insurance and credit shocks," Working Papers 825, DNB.
  • Handle: RePEc:dnb:dnbwpp:825
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    File URL: https://www.dnb.nl/media/l5ubukae/working-paper-no-825.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bewley, Truman, 1977. "The permanent income hypothesis: A theoretical formulation," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 252-292, December.
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    3. Tobias Broer, 2013. "The Wrong Shape of Insurance? What Cross-Sectional Distributions Tell Us about Models of Consumption Smoothing," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(4), pages 107-140, October.
    4. Chunzan Wu & Dirk Krueger, 2021. "Consumption Insurance against Wage Risk: Family Labor Supply and Optimal Progressive Income Taxation," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 79-113, January.
    5. Juan Carlos Conesa & Sagiri Kitao & Dirk Krueger, 2009. "Taxing Capital? Not a Bad Idea after All!," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(1), pages 25-48, March.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
    • D52 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Incomplete Markets
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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