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Comprehensive analyses of fertility trends in the Russian Federation during the past half century

Author

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  • Tomas Frejka

    (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany)

  • Sergei Zakharov

Abstract

The transformation of traditional childbearing patterns of early family formation to later family formation characterized recent fertility trends in Russia. These were intrinsically interwoven with fundamental changes in all aspects of life of young people in the 1990s and the 2000s. The past quarter century was also marked by concern with low fertility and attempts to increase fertility in the early 1980s and the late 2000s. The family policies of the 1980s failed to raise fertility. Preliminary analyses indicate that the fate of the 2007 policies could be similar. In both cases the main emphasis was on material birth and child benefits, parental leaves and child care. Presumably insufficient attention was devoted to improving living conditions of young people and promoting gender equality. Will government efforts to raise fertility during the 2010s be sufficiently effective to offset economic and social forces challenging childbearing? As of 2012 the outlook for a future fertility increase does not appear hopeful.

Suggested Citation

  • Tomas Frejka & Sergei Zakharov, 2012. "Comprehensive analyses of fertility trends in the Russian Federation during the past half century," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2012-027, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:dem:wpaper:wp-2012-027
    DOI: 10.4054/MPIDR-WP-2012-027
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sergei Zakharov, 2008. "Russian Federation: From the first to second demographic transition," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 19(24), pages 907-972.
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    2. Levin,Victoria & Besedina,Elena & Aritomi,Tami, 2016. "Going beyond the first child : analysis of Russian mothers'desired and actual fertility Patterns," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7643, The World Bank.
    3. Maleva, T. & Tyndik, A., 2013. "Fertility Growth Potential in Russia: Lessons of the Megalopolis," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 17(1), pages 137-158.
    4. Vladimir Arkhangel'Skiy & Natalya Dzhanayeva, 2015. "Using Cohort Fertility Indicators to Assess and Predict the Effectiveness of Demographic Policies," Economy of region, Centre for Economic Security, Institute of Economics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, vol. 1(4), pages 170-184.
    5. Katherine Keenan & Michael G. Kenward & Emily Grundy & David A. Leon, 2014. "The impact of alcohol consumption on patterns of union formation in Russia 1998-2010: An assessment using longitudinal data," Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 68(3), pages 283-303, November.
    6. Olga Gokova & Albina Kiseleva, 2017. "Comparative Social And Economic Study Of Youth Pro-Natalist Policy In The Regions Of Germany, France And Russia," Economy of region, Centre for Economic Security, Institute of Economics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, vol. 1(2), pages 537-549.
    7. V. Arkhangelskiy N. & В. Архангельский Н., 2019. "Рождаемость в реальных поколениях российских женщин: тенденции и региональные различия // Fertility in Real Generations of Russian Women: Trends and Regional Differences," Экономика. Налоги. Право // Economics, taxes & law, ФГОБУ "Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации" // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, vol. 12(2), pages 59-69.
    8. Arkhangelskiy , Vladimir (Архангельский, Владимир) & Shulgin, Sergei (Шульгин, Сергей) & Efremov, Igor (Ефремов, Игорь) & Pustovalov, Denis Nikolaevich (Пустовалов, Денис Николаевич), 2016. "Russia's Possible Demographic Scenarios and Their Consequences [Возможные Демографические Сценарии России И Их Последствия]," Working Papers 761, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    9. Valeriy Elizarov & Victoria Levin, 2015. "Family Policies in Russia," World Bank Publications - Reports 22614, The World Bank Group.

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    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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