IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/dem/wpaper/wp-2006-007.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Anticipatory analysis and its alternatives in life-course research. Part 2: Marriage and first birth

Author

Listed:
  • Jan M. Hoem

    (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany)

  • Michaela R. Kreyenfeld

    (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany)

Abstract

In the second part of these reflections, we use the connection between marriage and first childbearing to demonstrate further issues involved in anticipatory analysis. We show that an anticipatory approach cannot be used to represent intentionality: People may marry with the intention of having a child, but the analyst should be weary of using anticipatory analysis to pick that up. (Keywords: anticipatory analysis, conditioning on the future, intentionality, marriage and first childbearing)

Suggested Citation

  • Jan M. Hoem & Michaela R. Kreyenfeld, 2006. "Anticipatory analysis and its alternatives in life-course research. Part 2: Marriage and first birth," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2006-007, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:dem:wpaper:wp-2006-007
    DOI: 10.4054/MPIDR-WP-2006-007
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.demogr.mpg.de/papers/working/wp-2006-007.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.4054/MPIDR-WP-2006-007?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Courgeau, Daniel & Lelievre, Eva, 1993. "Event History Analysis in Demography," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198287384.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Studer, Matthias & Struffolino, Emanuela & Fasang, Anette Eva, 2018. "Estimating the Relationship between Time-varying Covariates and Trajectories: The Sequence Analysis Multistate Model Procedure," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 48(1), pages 103-135.
    2. Bijwaard, Govert, 2011. "Unobserved Heterogeneity in Multiple-Spell Multiple-States Duration Models," IZA Discussion Papers 5748, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    3. Christophe J. Nordman & François Roubaud, 2009. "Reassessing the Gender Wage Gap in Madagascar: Does Labor Force Attachment Really Matter?," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 57(4), pages 785-808, July.
    4. Govert Bijwaard, 2014. "Multistate event history analysis with frailty," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 30(58), pages 1591-1620.
    5. Michaela R. Kreyenfeld, 2004. "Fertility decisions in the FRG and GDR," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2004-008, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    6. Francesco C. Billari & Johannes Fürnkranz & Alexia Prskawetz, 2006. "Timing, Sequencing, and Quantum of Life Course Events: A Machine Learning Approach," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 22(1), pages 37-65, March.
    7. Jan M. Hoem & Lesia Nedoluzhko, 2008. "Marriage formation as a process intermediary between migration and childbearing," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2008-015, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    8. Matsuo, Hideko & Willekens, Frans, 2003. "Event histories in the Netherlands Fertility and Family Survey 1998. A technical report," Research Reports 03-01, University of Groningen, Population Research Centre (PRC).
    9. Daniel Courgeau, 1993. "Nouvelle approche statistique des liens entre mobilité du travail et mobilité géographique," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 44(4), pages 791-808.
    10. Jan M. Hoem, 2014. "The dangers of conditioning on the time of occurrence of one demographic process in the analysis of another," Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 68(2), pages 151-159, July.
    11. Jan Bavel, 2010. "Choice of study discipline and the postponement of motherhood in Europe: The impact of expected earnings, gender composition, and family attitudes," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 47(2), pages 439-458, May.
    12. Hans-Peter Blossfeld & Erik Klijzing & Katharina Pohl & Götz Rohwer, 1999. "Why Do Cohabiting Couples Marry? An Example of a Causal Event History Approach to Interdependent Systems," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 229-242, August.
    13. Laurie Brown & Binod Nepal & Heather Booth & Sophie Pennec & Kaarin Anstey & Ann Harding, 2011. "Dynamic Modelling of Ageing and Health: The Dynopta Microsimulation Model," NATSEM Working Paper Series 11/14, University of Canberra, National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling.
    14. Norman Braun & Henriette Engelhardt, 2004. "Diffusion Processes and Event History Analysis," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 2(1), pages 111-132.
    15. Jan M. Hoem & Lesia Nedoluzhko, 2008. "Marriage formation as a process intermediary between migration and childbearing," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 18(21), pages 611-628.
    16. Jan M. Hoem & Michaela Kreyenfeld, 2006. "Anticipatory analysis and its alternatives in life-course research," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 15(17), pages 485-498.
    17. Dimiter Philipov & Hans-Peter Kohler, 2001. "Tempo Effects in the Fertility Decline in Eastern Europe: Evidence from Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Russia," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 17(1), pages 37-60, March.
    18. Pau Baizan & Enriqueta Camps, 2005. "The Impact of women's educational and economic resources on fertility. Spanish birth cohorts 1901-1950," Working Papers 226, Barcelona School of Economics.
    19. Le Coeur, Sophie & Collins, Intira J. & Pannetier, Julie & Lelièvre, Éva, 2009. "Gender and access to HIV testing and antiretroviral treatments in Thailand: Why do women have more and earlier access?," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 69(6), pages 846-853, September.
    20. Norman Braun & Henriette Engelhardt, 2002. "Diffusion processes and event history analysis," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2002-007, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    anticipatory analysis; conditioning on the future; intentionality; marriage and first childbearing);
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:dem:wpaper:wp-2006-007. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Peter Wilhelm (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.demogr.mpg.de/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.