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A Structuralist Model of the Small Open Economy in the Short, Medium and Long Run

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  • Hian Teck Hoon
  • Edmund S. Phelps

Abstract

In open-economy macroeconomics there is a monetary model in the Keynesian tradition that is deemed serviceable for analyzing the short run and there is a nonmonetary neoclassical theory thought capable of handling the long run. But do the Keynesian and neoclassical models meet the challenges thrown out by the main events of the past few decades—the ’80s shock to Europe taking the form of an external jump in real interest rates; the sort of shock experienced in the U.S. and parts of northern Europe in the second half of the ’90s: the emerging prospect of new industries in the future creating increased needs for capital; and what may have been a major shock of the ’60s: the large Kennedy tax cut, mostly the reduction in income taxes, enacted in the U.S. in 1964? We suggest that the effects of these shocks on the open economy are not well portrayed by either the standard Keynesian model or by standard neoclassical theory. We then provide a careful development of a nonmonetary model of the equilibrium path of the real exchange rate, share price level, as well as natural output, employment and interest based on trading frictions in the goods market, and compare its implications not only over the medium run but for the short run and the long run as well.

Suggested Citation

  • Hian Teck Hoon & Edmund S. Phelps, 2004. "A Structuralist Model of the Small Open Economy in the Short, Medium and Long Run," DEGIT Conference Papers c009_005, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
  • Handle: RePEc:deg:conpap:c009_005
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    1. Hoon, Hian Teck & Phelps, Edmund S., 2007. "A structuralist model of the small open economy in the short, medium and long run," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 227-254, June.
    2. Phelps Edmund S., 2010. "The Slump, the Recovery and the "New Normal"," Capitalism and Society, De Gruyter, vol. 5(2), pages 1-19, October.
    3. Faria, Joao Ricardo & Leon-Ledesma, Miguel A., 2005. "Real exchange rate and employment performance in an open economy," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(1), pages 67-80, March.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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