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The impact of North-South and South-South trade agreements on bilateral trade

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  • Alberto Behar
  • Laia Cirera i Crivillé

Abstract

Free trade agreements (FTAs) lead to a rise in bilateral trade even if the signatories include developing countries. Furthermore, the percentage increase in bilateral trade is higher for South-South agreements than for North-South agreements. the results are robust across a number of gravity model specifications in which we contrl for the endogenity of FTAs (with bilateral fixed effects) and also take account of multilateral resistance in both estimation (with country-fixed effects) and compartive statics (analytically). Our analystical model shows that multilateral resitance dampens the imapct of FTAs on trade by less in South-South agreements than in North-South agreements, which accentuates the difference implied by our gravity model coefficients, and that this difference gets larger as the number of signatories rises. For example, allowing for lags and multilateral resistance, a four-country North-South agreement rasies bilateral trade by 53% while the analogous South-South impact is 107%

Suggested Citation

  • Alberto Behar & Laia Cirera i Crivillé, 2010. "The impact of North-South and South-South trade agreements on bilateral trade," CSAE Working Paper Series 2010-30, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
    • Handle: RePEc:csa:wpaper:2010-30
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    File URL: https://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:5f6f6bbd-e364-4fcd-b0ec-d272835a2120
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    1. World Bank, 2005. "Global Economic Prospects 2005 : Trade, Regionalism and Development," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 14783.
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    Cited by:

    1. Khadan, Jeetendra & Hosein, Roger, 2014. "Trade, Economic and Welfare impacts of the CARICOM-Canada Free Trade Agreement," MPRA Paper 54836, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Khadan, Jeetendra & Hosein, Roger, 2014. "Trade, Economic and Welfare impacts of the CARICOM-Canada Free Trade Agreement," MPRA Paper 54836, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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