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Real business cycles and the animal spirits hypothesis in a CIA economy

  • Barinci, Jean-Paul
  • Chéron, Arnaud

This paper examines the dynamical properties of a one-sector cash-indvance constraint model with constant returns to scale. Its aim is to overcome some of the difficulties encountered by earlier models in establishing the empirical relevance of indeterminacy and sunspots. It is first established that, in opposition to available results, indeterminacy occurs for values of the intertemporal elasticity of substitution in consumption consistent with the bulk of empirical estimates. It is then shown that sunspot shocks generate procyclical movements in consumption. Lastly, allowing both beliefs and technological disturbances, the model is found to perform as well as real sunspot models with increasing returns to scale in matching the business cycle.

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File URL: http://www.cepremap.fr/depot/couv_orange/co0110.pdf
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Paper provided by CEPREMAP in its series CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) with number 0110.

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Length: 13 pages
Date of creation: 2001
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:cpm:cepmap:0110
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  1. Gary Hansen, 2010. "Indivisible Labor and the Business Cycle," Levine's Working Paper Archive 233, David K. Levine.
  2. Farmer, Roger E A, 1997. "Money in a Real Business Cycle Model," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 29(4), pages 568-611, November.
  3. Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie, 1999. "Endogenous Business Cycles and the Dynamics of Output, Hours, and Consumption," CEPR Discussion Papers 2315, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  4. Kocherlakota, N., 1995. "The Equity Premium: It's Still a Puzzle," Working Papers 95-05, University of Iowa, Department of Economics.
  5. Robert G. King & Sergio T. Rebelo, 2000. "Resuscitating Real Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 7534, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Bennett, Rosalind L. & Farmer, Roger E. A., 2000. "Indeterminacy with Non-separable Utility," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 118-143, July.
  7. Jess Benhabib & Roger E.A. Farmer, 1992. "Indeterminacy and Increasing Returns," UCLA Economics Working Papers 646, UCLA Department of Economics.
  8. Benhabib, Jess & Farmer, Roger E.A., 1996. "Indeterminacy and Sector-Specific Externalities," Working Papers 96-12, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University.
  9. Basu, Susanto & Fernald, John G, 1997. "Returns to Scale in U.S. Production: Estimates and Implications," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 105(2), pages 249-83, April.
  10. Cooley, Thomas F & Hansen, Gary D, 1989. "The Inflation Tax in a Real Business Cycle Model," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(4), pages 733-48, September.
  11. Barinci, Jean-Paul & Cheron, Arnaud, 2001. "Sunspots and the Business Cycle in a Finance Constrained Economy," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 30-49, March.
  12. Sossounov, Kirill A, 2000. "Analyzing Indeterminacies in a Real Business Cycle Model with Money: A Comment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 32(2), pages 280-91, May.
  13. Roger E.A. Farmer & Jang Ting Guo, 1992. "Real Business Cycles and the Animal Spirits Hypothesis," UCLA Economics Working Papers 680, UCLA Department of Economics.
  14. Benhabib, Jess & Farmer, Roger E.A., 1999. "Indeterminacy and sunspots in macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 6, pages 387-448 Elsevier.
  15. Wen, Yi, 1998. "Capacity Utilization under Increasing Returns to Scale," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 7-36, July.
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