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The Macroeconomic, Industrial, Distributional and Regional Effects of Government Spending Programs in South Africa

Author

Listed:
  • J. Mark Horridge
  • Brian R. Parmenter
  • Martin Cameron
  • Riaan Joubert
  • Areef Suleman
  • Dawie de Jongh

Abstract

A computable general equilibrium model of the South African economy (IDC-GEM) is outlined. The model is used to analyse the effects on the economy of increases in government spending such as are at the core of the new government's Reconstruction and Development Program. The analysis concentrates on the implications of alternative methods of finance for the program. Results are reported for macroeconomic variables, for the prospects of industries and regions, and for income distribution.

Suggested Citation

  • J. Mark Horridge & Brian R. Parmenter & Martin Cameron & Riaan Joubert & Areef Suleman & Dawie de Jongh, 1995. "The Macroeconomic, Industrial, Distributional and Regional Effects of Government Spending Programs in South Africa," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-109, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
  • Handle: RePEc:cop:wpaper:g-109
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    Cited by:

    1. Bodrun Nahar & Mahinda Siriwardana, 2013. "Trade Opening, Fiscal Reforms, Poverty, and Inequality: A CGE Analysis for Bangladesh," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 51(2), pages 145-185, June.
    2. Sudarshan Chalise & Athula Naranpanawa, 2023. "Potential impacts of climate change and adaptation in agriculture on poverty: the case of Nepal," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 1540-1559, October.
    3. Buetre, Benjamin L. & Ahmadi-Esfahani, Fredoun Z., 2000. "Updating an input-output table for use in policy analysis," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 44(4), pages 1-31.
    4. Bodrun Nahar & Mahinda Siriwardana, 2009. "Impact of Trade Liberalization on Poverty in Bangladesh," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 10(2), pages 325-369, July.
    5. Rodriguez, U-Primo E., 2007. "State-of-the-Art in Regional Computable General Equilibrium Modelling with a Case Study of the Philippines," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 20(1).
    6. Naranpanawa, Athula & Bandara, Jayatilleke S. & Selvanathan, Saroja, 2011. "Trade and poverty nexus: A case study of Sri Lanka," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 328-346, March.
    7. Liyanaarachchi, Tilak S. & Naranpanawa, Athula & Bandara, Jayatilleke S., 2016. "Impact of trade liberalisation on labour market and poverty in Sri Lanka. An integrated macro-micro modelling approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 102-115.
    8. Z. R. Coetzee & K. Kwarada & W. Naude & J. Swanepoel, 1997. "Currency Depreciation, Trade Liberalisation and Economic Development 1," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 65(2), pages 78-88, June.
    9. Chalise, Sudarshan & Naranpanawa, Athula & Bandara, Jayatilleke S. & Sarker, Tapan, 2017. "A general equilibrium assessment of climate change–induced loss of agricultural productivity in Nepal," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 43-50.
    10. Riaan Rossouw & Melville Saayman, 2011. "Assimilation of Tourism Satellite Accounts and Applied General Equilibrium Models to Inform Tourism Policy Analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 17(4), pages 753-783, August.
    11. Esmedekh Lkhanaajav, 2016. "CoPS-style CGE modelling and analysis," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-264, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    12. Itakura, Ken & van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique, 2011. "Calibrating the Modified An Implicitly Directly Additive Demand System (MAIDADS) for Applied Economic Modeling," Conference papers 332140, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    13. Sudarshan Chalise & Dr Athula Naranpanawa, 2016. "Climate change adaptation in agriculture: A general equilibrium analysis of land re-allocation in Nepal," EcoMod2016 9272, EcoMod.
    14. Jayatilleke S. Bandara & Athula Naranpanawa, 2015. "Garment Industry in Sri Lanka and the Removal of GSP Plus by EU," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(9), pages 1438-1461, September.
    15. Liyanaarachchi, Tilak Susantha & Bandara, Layatilleke S. & Naranpanawa, Athula, 2014. "A Quantitive Evaluation of the Potential Effects of Trade Policy Reversal in Sri Lanka: A Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Analysis," Sri Lankan Journal of Agricultural Economics, Sri Lanka Agricultural Economics Association (SAEA), vol. 16, pages 1-26, November.
    16. Jayatilleke S. Bandara & Athula Naranpanawa, 2007. "The Economic Effects of the Asian Tsunami on the ‘Tear Drop in the Indian Ocean’," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 8(1), pages 65-85, January.
    17. Naranpanawa, Athula & Bandara, Jayatilleke S., 2012. "Poverty and growth impacts of high oil prices: Evidence from Sri Lanka," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 102-111.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic modelling; South Africa; government spending; income distribution; industrial effects; regional effects; macroeconomic effects;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa
    • R13 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General Equilibrium and Welfare Economic Analysis of Regional Economies

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