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Eppur si muove: el efecto de las aspersiones aéreas con glifosato en el desplazamiento forzado en Colombia
[Eppur si muove: The Effect of Aerial Glyphosate Spraying on Forced Displacement in Colombia]

Author

Listed:
  • Angel Santiago Pardo González

    (Universidad de los Andes)

Abstract

En este estudio se analiza la relación entre el desplazamiento forzado interno y el Programa de Aspersiones Aéreas con Glifosato (PECIG) durante el Plan Colombia, utilizando Variables Instrumentales (IV) para corregir los problemas de endogeneidad causados por la asociación del programa con el conflicto armado. Esta investigación muestra que un aumento de un punto porcentual en la intensidad de aspersión está relacionado con un aumento de 4,29 puntos porcentuales en la tasa de desplazamiento en un periodo de tres meses agregados después de asperjar. Del mismo modo, las estimaciones muestran que la reiteración en las fumigaciones y un alto volumen en los cultivos de coca son un canal directo para explicar el aumento en las tasas de desplazamiento causadas por el PECIG.

Suggested Citation

  • Angel Santiago Pardo González, 2025. "Eppur si muove: el efecto de las aspersiones aéreas con glifosato en el desplazamiento forzado en Colombia [Eppur si muove: The Effect of Aerial Glyphosate Spraying on Forced Displacement in Colomb," Documentos CEDE 2025-35, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000089:021696
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Juan Felipe Godoy, 2018. "Violencia en la producci√≥n de coca√≠na: laboratorios y grupos armados," Documentos CEDE 16351, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    2. Daron Acemoglu & Leopoldo Fergusson & James Robinson & Dario Romero & Juan F. Vargas, 2020. "The Perils of High-Powered Incentives: Evidence from Colombia's False Positives," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 12(3), pages 1-43, August.
    3. Abbey Steele, 2011. "Electing Displacement: Political Cleansing in Apartad√≥, Colombia," Documentos CEDE 8747, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
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    5. Deacon, Helen & Görgens, Maximilian, 2019. "Forced to leave: Determinants of slow-onset displacement in Colombia," GIGA Working Papers 317, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies.
    6. James H. Stock & Motohiro Yogo, 2002. "Testing for Weak Instruments in Linear IV Regression," NBER Technical Working Papers 0284, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Wachter, Karin & Gulbas, Lauren E., 2018. "Social support under siege: An analysis of forced migration among women from the Democratic Republic of Congo," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 107-116.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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