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Expectativas Financieras y Tasas Forward en Chile

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Listed:
  • Rodrigo Alfaro
  • Antonio Fernandois
  • Andrés Sagner

Abstract

In this paper we present a simple tool to calculate the forward rate curve for Chile from a set of interest rates grouped by maturity using a linear version of the Nelson-Siegel model. Our results show that (i) the forward rate is a weighted average of zero-coupon rates, and (ii) the weights are time-invariant if the set of interest rates used in the estimations is always the same.

Suggested Citation

  • Rodrigo Alfaro & Antonio Fernandois & Andrés Sagner, 2018. "Expectativas Financieras y Tasas Forward en Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 814, Central Bank of Chile.
    • Handle: RePEc:chb:bcchwp:814
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    File URL: https://www.bcentral.cl/documents/33528/133326/DTBC_814.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dimitri Vayanos & Jean‐Luc Vila, 2021. "A Preferred‐Habitat Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(1), pages 77-112, January.
    2. Samuel Carrasco & Luis Ceballos & Jessica Mena, 2016. "Estimación de la estructura de tasas de interés en Chile," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 19(1), pages 58-75, April.
    3. Diebold, Francis X. & Li, Canlin, 2006. "Forecasting the term structure of government bond yields," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 130(2), pages 337-364, February.
    4. Marco Morales, 2010. "The real yield curve and macroeconomic factors in the Chilean economy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(27), pages 3533-3545.
    5. Luis Oscar Herrera & Igal Magendzo, 1997. "Expectativas Financieras y la Curva de Tasas Forward de Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 23, Central Bank of Chile.
    6. Nelson, Charles R & Siegel, Andrew F, 1987. "Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 60(4), pages 473-489, October.
    7. Vayanos, Dimitri & Vila, Jean-Luc, 2009. "A preferred-habitat model of the term structure of interest rates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 29308, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
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