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Fertility Effects of Child Benefits

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  • Regina T. Riphahn
  • Frederik Wiynck

Abstract

We exploit the 1996 reform of the German child benefit program to identify the causal effect of heterogeneous child benefits on fertility. While generally the reform increased child benefits, the exact amount of the increase varied by household income and the number of children. We use these heterogeneities to identify their causal effects on fertility in a difference-in-differences setting. We apply the large samples of the German Mikrozensus and the rich data of the German Socio-economic Panel (SOEP). The reform effects on low income couples are not statistically significant. We find some support for positive fertility effects for higher as opposed to lower income couples deciding on a second birth.

Suggested Citation

  • Regina T. Riphahn & Frederik Wiynck, 2017. "Fertility Effects of Child Benefits," CESifo Working Paper Series 6465, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_6465
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    child benefits; fertility; tax allowance; causal effect; difference-in-differences; Mikrozensus; SOEP;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling

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