IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cbt/econwp/26-04.html

The Power of Science: Statistical Power in Published Research Across Five Disciplines

Author

Listed:

Abstract

Statistical power, the probability that a study detects a true effect, is a key determinant of the reproducibility of published research. Prior studies have documented low power within individual disciplines, but these estimates are difficult to compare: they span different fields, use different effect-size measures, and apply different methods, leaving no coherent cross-disciplinary picture. We analyze statistical power across five disciplines, environmental science, economics, medicine, political science, and psychology, using approximately 748,000 estimates from large meta-analysis collections. Benchmarking each estimate against Cohen's conventional small and medium effect-size thresholds, we find that published research in the meta-analyzed literature is substantially underpowered for small effects in every discipline. Under the medium-effect benchmark, median power exceeds 80 percent in psychology, economics, and political science, but remains well below that threshold in environmental science and medicine. We compare this benchmark approach with the Fixed- Effects Meta-Analytic (FE-MA) approach used in prior work. The two align in environmental science and medicine, and partly in psychology, but diverge sharply in economics and political science. We argue that heterogeneity, sign-mixing, and publication selection can make the FEMA pooled estimate an unreliable assumed true effect for the individual studies in a literature, whereas the conventional benchmark is transparent and comparable across fields. Because it offers a transparent and uniform basis for comparing power across fields, we recommend that benchmark power be reported routinely, with FE-MA treated as a complement. These findings link low power to replication failures and suggest that the severity of the replication crisis varies across disciplines.

Suggested Citation

  • Yue Wang & František Bartoš & Tom Coupé & Tomas Havranek & Sanghyun Hong & Zuzana Irsova & W. Robert Reed, 2026. "The Power of Science: Statistical Power in Published Research Across Five Disciplines," Working Papers in Economics 26/04, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
  • Handle: RePEc:cbt:econwp:26/04
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://repec.canterbury.ac.nz/cbt/econwp/2604.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Abel Brodeur & Derek Mikola & Nikolai Cook & Lenka Fiala & Thomas Brailey & Ryan Briggs & Alexandra de Gendre & Yannick Dupraz & Jacopo Gabani & Romain Gauriot & Joanne Haddad & Goncalo Lima & Jörg An, 2026. "Reproducibility and robustness of economics and political science research," Nature, Nature, vol. 652(8108), pages 151-156, April.
    2. Abel Brodeur & Derek Mikola & Nikolai Cook & Lenka Fiala & Thomas Brailey & Ryan Briggs & Alexandra de Gendre & Yannick Dupraz & Jacopo Gabani & Romain Gauriot & Joanne Haddad & Goncalo Lima & Jörg An, 2026. "Reproducibility and robustness of economics and political science research," Nature, Nature, vol. 652(8108), pages 151-156, April.
    3. Doucouliagos, Hristos (Chris), 2011. "How large is large? Preliminary and relative guidelines for interpreting partial correlations in economics," Working Papers eco_2011_5, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Stevenson, Megan T. & Fischman, Joshua B., 2026. "Humans in the Loop: The Next Frontier in the Credibility Revolution," I4R Discussion Paper Series 296, The Institute for Replication (I4R).
    2. Abel Brodeur & Nikolai Cook & Derek Mikola & Maddalena Totarelli & et. al., 2026. "Evidence Under Scrutiny: How Reliable Is the Research Backing Public Policy?," EconPol Policy Brief 85, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    3. Montpetit, Sébastien, 2026. "Behind the Veil of Origin: Revisiting the Impacts of the French Headscarf Ban in Schools," I4R Discussion Paper Series 293, The Institute for Replication (I4R).
    4. Montpetit, Sébastien, 2026. "Behind the Veil of Origin: Revisiting the Impacts of the French Headscarf Ban in Schools," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1610, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    5. Amar Anwar & Ichiro Iwasaki, 2023. "The finance–growth nexus in the Middle East and Africa: A comparative meta‐analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4655-4683, October.
    6. Josef C. Brada & Ichiro Iwasaki, 2022. "The Effect of Target-Country Institutions on Cross-Border Merger and Acquisition Activity: A Quantitative Literature Survey," Econometric Research in Finance, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, vol. 7(1), pages 1-70.
    7. Philipp Heimberger, 2022. "Does economic globalisation promote economic growth? A meta‐analysis," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(6), pages 1690-1712, June.
    8. Mattia Filomena & Matteo Picchio, 2023. "Retirement and health outcomes in a meta‐analytical framework," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(4), pages 1120-1155, September.
    9. Xinxin Ma & Ichiro Iwasaki, 2021. "Does communist party membership bring a wage premium in China? a meta-analysis," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 55-94, January.
    10. Dimos, Christos & Pugh, Geoff & Hisarciklilar, Mehtap & Talam, Ema & Jackson, Ian, 2022. "The relative effectiveness of R&D tax credits and R&D subsidies: A comparative meta-regression analysis," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    11. Giotis Georgios, 2022. "Preliminary Results on the Employment Effect of Tourism. A meta-analysis," Papers 2206.00174, arXiv.org.
    12. Ichiro Iwasaki & Satoshi Mizobata, 2020. "Ownership Concentration and Firm Performance in European Emerging Economies: A Meta-Analysis," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(1), pages 32-67, January.
    13. Xinxin Ma & Ichiro Iwasaki, 2021. "Return to schooling in China: a large meta-analysis," Education Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 379-410, July.
    14. Demena, B.A., 2021. "Effectiveness of export promotion programmes," ISS Working Papers - General Series 688, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
    15. Shamugia, Egnate, 2025. "Rule of law and economic performance: A meta-regression analysis," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    16. Ugur, Mehmet & Awaworyi, Sefa & Solomon, Edna, 2016. "Technological innovation and employment in derived labour demand models: A hierarchical meta-regression analysis," MPRA Paper 73557, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Chris Doucouliagos & Jakob de Haan & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2022. "What drives financial development? A Meta-regression analysis [A new database of financial reforms]," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 74(3), pages 840-868.
    18. Iwasaki, Ichiro & Satogami, Mihoko, 2023. "Gender wage gap in European emerging markets: a meta-analytic perspective," Journal for Labour Market Research, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 57, pages 1-009.
    19. Jan Babecky & Tomas Havranek, 2014. "Structural reforms and growth in transition," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 22(1), pages 13-42, January.
    20. Jurkat, Anne & Klump, Rainer & Schneider, Florian, 2025. "Robots and wages: A meta-analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 541-567.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C18 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Methodolical Issues: General
    • C83 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Survey Methods; Sampling Methods

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cbt:econwp:26/04. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Albert Yee (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/decannz.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.