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Forecasting Irish Inflation: A Composite Leading Indicator

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Listed author(s):
  • Quinn, Terry

    (Central Bank and Financial Services Authority of Ireland)

  • Mawdsley, Andrew

    (Central Bank and Financial Services Authority of Ireland)

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    Abstract

    This paper presents the results of research into the construction of a composite leading indicator of the Irish rate of inflation, as measured by the annual percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). It follows the work of Fagan and Fell (1994) who applied the business cycle leading indicator methodology, initially established by Mitchell and Burns (1938,1946), to construct a composite leading indicator of the Irish business cycle.

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    File URL: https://centralbank.ie/docs/default-source/publications/research-technical-papers/04rt96---forecasting-irish-inflation-a-composite-leading-indicator-(mawdsley-and-quinn).pdf?sfvrsn=4
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    Paper provided by Central Bank of Ireland in its series Research Technical Papers with number 4/RT/96.

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    Length: 23 pages
    Date of creation: Jun 1996
    Handle: RePEc:cbi:wpaper:4/rt/96
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    Phone: (01) 671 6666
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    Web page: http://www.centralbank.ie
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    1. Smith, R Todd, 1992. "The Cyclical Behavior of Prices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 24(4), pages 413-430, November.
    2. Roger Perman, 1991. "Cointegration: An Introduction to the Literature," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 18(3), pages 3-30, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Quinn, Terry & Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan, 1999. "Inflation Analysis: An Overview," Research Technical Papers 1/RT/99, Central Bank of Ireland.
    2. Khatun, Fahmida & Ahamad, Mazbahul G., 2012. "Investigating the determinants of inflationary trends in Bangladesh: an ARDL bounds F-Test Approach," MPRA Paper 42572, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Kenny, Geoff, 1998. "The Housing Market and the Macroeconomy: Evidence From Ireland," Research Technical Papers 1/RT/98, Central Bank of Ireland.

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