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Banking Sector Fundamentals: Learning from the Recent Bank Lending Contraction


  • Mathinee Subhaswasdikul

    (Bank of Thailand)

  • Don Nakornthab

    (Bank of Thailand)


The paper investigates the recent contraction of bank lending in Thailand and its implication for the economy. Analyses are conducted at both aggregate and disaggregate levels. At the aggregate level, a disequilibrium econometric estimation is employed to assess the relative extent in which supply and demand factors have contributed to the credit slowdown. At the disaggregate level, the paper uses individual bank data to analyze relationship between measures of bank condition and bank lending behavior. The paper finds that availability of loanable funds and NPL overhang, both of which played a prominent role during the early stage of the contraction period, no longer appear to be major constraining factors of loan growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Mathinee Subhaswasdikul & Don Nakornthab, 2003. "Banking Sector Fundamentals: Learning from the Recent Bank Lending Contraction," Working Papers 2003-11, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
  • Handle: RePEc:bth:wpaper:2003-11

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Sealey, C W, Jr, 1979. "Credit Rationing in the Commercial Loan Market: Estimates of a Structural Model under Conditions of Disequilibrium," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 34(3), pages 689-702, June.
    2. Agenor, Pierre-Richard & Aizenman, Joshua & Hoffmaister, Alexander W., 2004. "The credit crunch in East Asia: what can bank excess liquid assets tell us?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 27-49, February.
    3. Ellis W. Tallman & Nargis Bharucha, 2000. "Credit crunch or what? Australian banks during the 1986–93 credit cycle," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, issue Q3, pages 13-34.
    4. Adolfo Barajas & Roberto Steiner, 2002. "Credit Stagnation in Latin America," IMF Working Papers 02/53, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Domac, Ilker & Ferri, Giovanni, 1998. "The real impact of financial shocks : evidence from the Republic of Korea," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2010, The World Bank.
    6. Ito, Takatoshi & Ueda, Kazuo, 1981. "Tests of the Equilibrium Hypothesis in Disequilibrium Econometrics: An International Comparison of Credit Rationing," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 22(3), pages 691-708, October.
    7. Atish R. Ghosh & Swart R. Ghosh, 1999. "East Asia in the Aftermath; Was there a Crunch?," IMF Working Papers 99/38, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Stiglitz, Joseph E & Weiss, Andrew, 1981. "Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(3), pages 393-410, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chansarn, Supachet, 2005. "The efficiency in Thai financial sector after the financial crisis," MPRA Paper 1776, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2006.

    More about this item


    banks; credit crunch; financial crisis; Thailand;


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