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Geographic spread of currency trading: the renminbi and other EM currencies

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  • Yin-Wong Cheun
  • Robert N McCauley

Abstract

This paper studies the ongoing diffusion of renminbi trading across the globe, the first such research of an international currency. It analyses the distribution in offshore renminbi trading in 2013 and 2016, using comprehensive data from the Triennial Central Bank Survey of Foreign Exchange and Over-the-Counter Derivatives Market Activity. In 2013, Asian centres favoured by the policy of renminbi internationalisation had big shares in global renminbi trading. In the following three years, renminbi trading seemed to converge to the spatial pattern of all currencies, with a half-life of seven to eight years. The previously most traded emerging market currency, the Mexican peso, shows a similar pattern, although it is converging to the global norm more slowly. Three other major emerging market currencies show a qualitatively similar evolution in the geography of their offshore trading. Overall the renminbi's internationalisation is tracing an arc from the influence of administrative measures to the working of market forces.

Suggested Citation

  • Yin-Wong Cheun & Robert N McCauley, 2019. "Geographic spread of currency trading: the renminbi and other EM currencies," BIS Working Papers 806, Bank for International Settlements.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:806
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Robert McCauley & Michela Scatigna, 2011. "Foreign exchange trading in emerging currencies: more financial, more offshore," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
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    6. Eichengreen, Barry & Mehl, Arnaud & Lafarguette, Romain, 2016. "Cables, Sharks and Servers: Technology and the Geography of the Foreign Exchange Market," CEPR Discussion Papers 11053, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Grimm, Louisa & Westermann, Frank, 2021. "The evolution of offshore renminbi trading: 2016 to 2019," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    2. Cerutti, Eugenio & Casanova, Catherine & Pradhan, Swapan-Kumar, 2023. "Banking across borders: Are Chinese banks different?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    3. Frank Westermann, 2023. "On the Geographical Dispersion of Euro Currency Trading: An Analysis of the First 20 Years and a Comparison to the RMB," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 65(2), pages 263-287, June.
    4. Haihong Gao & Yingting Li, 2020. "The Renminbi as a Trading Currency: Evidence from Selected Countries Participating in the Belt and Road Initiative," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 28(5), pages 45-63, September.
    5. Mengyang Li & Wencui Liu & Lei Wang, 2024. "Currency risk analysis of belt and road initiative countries," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 19(7), pages 1-25, July.
    6. Kerry Liu, 2020. "Hong Kong: Inevitably irrelevant to China?," Economic Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(1), pages 2-23, February.
    7. Robert N McCauley & Catherine R Schenk, 2020. "Central bank swaps then and now: swaps and dollar liquidity in the 1960s," BIS Working Papers 851, Bank for International Settlements.
    8. Yin-Wong Cheung, 2023. "A decade of RMB internationalisation," Economic and Political Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 47-74, January.
    9. Arslanalp, Serkan & Eichengreen, Barry & Simpson-Bell, Chima, 2022. "The stealth erosion of dollar dominance and the rise of nontraditional reserve currencies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    10. Andreas Schrimpf & Vladyslav Sushko, 2019. "Sizing up global foreign exchange markets," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.

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    JEL classification:

    • C24 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Truncated and Censored Models; Switching Regression Models; Threshold Regression Models
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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