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Optimal satellite shielding and orbital debris

Author

Listed:
  • Aneli Bongers

    (Department of Economics, University of Malaga)

  • Benedetto Molinari

    (Department of Economics, University of Malaga and RCEA)

  • Jose L. Torres

    (Department of Economics, University of Malaga)

Abstract

Orbital debris, or space junk, presents a negative environmental externality and poses significant hazards to human activities in outer space. The increasing number of satellites and spacecraft in orbit, from commercial, military, and scientific ventures, has led to an increase in space pollution with millions of pieces of fragments traveling at high speed. This creates a greater risk of collisions and the destruction of spacecraft. This paper examines the consequences of spacecraft shielding, which affects also the emission of orbital debris. By using shields to protect satellites, the probability of destruction in the event of a collision is reduced, along with the creation of additional debris. This serves as an example of how spacefaring operators can take steps to address the negative impact of space pollution within a decentralized system resulted from a profit maximization strategy. Our analysis demonstrates that when individual agents take steps to minimize the risk of collisions and satellite destruction this is equivalent to the internalization of the externality, with a positive impact on the space environment. Nevertheless, we find that the optimal shielding rate is lower than that of a centralized economy, indicating that the negative externality is not fully internalized in the decentralized economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Aneli Bongers & Benedetto Molinari & Jose L. Torres, 2025. "Optimal satellite shielding and orbital debris," Space Economics Working Papers 05-2025, Institute for Space Economics, revised May 2025.
  • Handle: RePEc:bhw:wpaper:05-2025
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bongers, Anelí & Torres, José L., 2023. "Orbital debris and the market for satellites," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    2. Nodir Adilov & Peter Alexander & Brendan Cunningham, 2015. "An Economic Analysis of Earth Orbit Pollution," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 60(1), pages 81-98, January.
    3. Adilov, Nodir & Alexander, Peter J. & Cunningham, Brendan M., 2018. "An economic “Kessler Syndrome”: A dynamic model of earth orbit debris," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 79-82.
    4. Sébastien Rouillon, 2020. "A Physico-Economic Model of Low Earth Orbit Management," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 77(4), pages 695-723, December.
    5. Zachary Grzelka & Jeffrey Wagner, 2019. "Managing Satellite Debris in Low-Earth Orbit: Incentivizing Ex Ante Satellite Quality and Ex Post Take-Back Programs," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 74(1), pages 319-336, September.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Orbital debris; Satellites; Risk of collision; Shielding.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D62 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Externalities
    • Q53 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Air Pollution; Water Pollution; Noise; Hazardous Waste; Solid Waste; Recycling
    • L80 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - General

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