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¿No importa la cantidad de dinero?: "Inflation Targeting" y la teoría cuantitativa

Author

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  • Carlos Esteban Posada

    ()

  • Andrés Felipe García

    ()

Abstract

La literatura referente a los modelos de inflación y política monetaria anti-inflacionaria del tipo denominado Inflation Targeting (IT) ha reforzado una opinión popular: que la inflación tiene poca o ninguna relación con el aumento de la cantidad de dinero. Esta opinión es contraria a una de las más viejas teorías económicas: la teoría cuantitativa del dinero (TCD). En las siguientes páginas se establece la relación entre un modelo básico de IT y la TCD, y se aclaran un caso de irrelevancia de la cantidad de dinero: el de la trampa de liquidez o caso keynesiano-radical. Este caso se contrapone a los otros casos, que sí son compatibles con la TCD. Por último, se reporta evidencia favorable a la hipótesis de pertinencia de la TCD para el caso colombiano reciente (1986: I 2005:III).

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Esteban Posada & Andrés Felipe García, 2006. "¿No importa la cantidad de dinero?: "Inflation Targeting" y la teoría cuantitativa," Borradores de Economia 403, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:403
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Aksoy, Yunus & Piskorski, Tomasz, 2006. "U.S. domestic money, inflation and output," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 183-197, March.
    2. Gerlach, Stefan & Svensson, Lars E. O., 2003. "Money and inflation in the euro area: A case for monetary indicators?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(8), pages 1649-1672, November.
    3. Nelson, Edward, 2003. "The future of monetary aggregates in monetary policy analysis," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(5), pages 1029-1059, July.
    4. Bernanke, Ben S & Blinder, Alan S, 1988. "Credit, Money, and Aggregate Demand," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(2), pages 435-439, May.
    5. Thomas M. Humphrey, 1997. "Fisher and Wicksell on the quantity theory," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Fall, pages 71-90.
    6. Wicksell, Knut, 1907. "The Influence of the Rate of Interest on Prices," History of Economic Thought Articles, McMaster University Archive for the History of Economic Thought, vol. 17, pages 213-220.
    7. L. Wade, 1988. "Review," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 99-100, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Carlos Esteban Posada & Camilo Morales J., 2007. "La inflación y la política monetaria colombianas del período 1996-2006: una interpretación," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 004291, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
    2. Remberto Rhenals & Juan Pablo Saldarriaga, 2008. "An Optimal Taylor Rule for Colombia, 1991-2006," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 69, pages 9-39, Julio-Dic.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    dinero; precios; inflation targeting; curva IS; curva de Phillips; tasa de interés; teoría cuantitativa del dinero.;

    JEL classification:

    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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