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The Irish GDP in 2016. After the disaster comes a dilemma

Author

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  • Roberto Tedeschi

    (Bank of Italy)

Abstract

The paper examines the disruption of statistics with the publication of the 2015 Ireland GDP at +26.3 per cent year on year. The figure was greeted by international disbelief. Ireland�s statistical authorities reacted with the publication, for the main aggregates, of modified data in parallel with the official one, much less affected by the bias on value added. The bias resulted from the relocation in Ireland of a huge amount of intellectual property capital, of the dimension of the GDP itself.To fix the link between statistical representation and economic fact means to depart from the legal form to let the substance prevail, i.e. depart from the description given by business reports and administrative data.

Suggested Citation

  • Roberto Tedeschi, 2018. "The Irish GDP in 2016. After the disaster comes a dilemma," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 471, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdi:opques:qef_471_18
    as

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    File URL: https://www.bancaditalia.it/pubblicazioni/qef/2018-0471/QEF_471_18.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert E. Lipsey, 2010. "Measuring The Location Of Production In A World Of Intangible Productive Assets, Fdi, And Intrafirm Trade," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 56(s1), pages 99-110, June.
    2. Lane, Philip R., 2017. "The Treatment of Global Firms in National Accounts," Economic Letters 01/EL/17, Central Bank of Ireland.
    3. Thomas Tørsløv & Ludvig Wier & Gabriel Zucman, 2023. "The Missing Profits of Nations," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 90(3), pages 1499-1534.
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    Cited by:

    1. Valerio Della Corte & Claire Giordano, 2021. "Methodological issues in the estimation of current account imbalances," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 617, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    2. Lucio Baccaro & Sinisa Hadziabdic, 2024. "Operationalizing growth models," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 1325-1360, April.
    3. Nadia Accoto & Stefano Federico & Giacomo Oddo, 2024. "Trade in services related to intangibles and the profit shifting hypothesis," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 70(4), pages 1037-1059, December.
    4. Baccaro, Lucio & Hadziabdic, Sinisa, 2022. "Operationalizing growth models," MPIfG Discussion Paper 22/6, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies.
    5. Riccardo De Bonis & Matteo Piazza, 2021. "A silent revolution. How central bank statistics have changed in the last 25 years," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 74(299), pages 347-371.
    6. Marie-Baïanne Khder & Jérémi Montornès & Nicolas Ragache, 2020. "Irish GDP Growth in 2015: A Puzzle and Propositions for a Solution," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 517-518-5, pages 173-190.
    7. Ergen, Timur & Kohl, Sebastian & Braun, Benjamin, 2021. "Firm foundations: The statistical footprint of multinational corporations as a problem for political economy," MPIfG Discussion Paper 21/5, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies.
    8. Nadia Accoto & Stefano Federico & Giacomo Oddo, 2023. "Trade in services related to intangibles and the profit shifting hypothesis," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1414, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    macroeconomic data estimation; impacts of globalisation;

    JEL classification:

    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access
    • E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
    • F62 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Macroeconomic Impacts

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