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The Effects of the Exchange Rate on Investment: Evidence from Canadian Manufacturing Industries

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  • Tarek Harchaoui
  • Faouzi Tarkhani
  • Terence Yuen

Abstract

Using industry-level data for 22 Canadian manufacturing industries, the authors examine the relationship between exchange rates and investment during the period 1981-97. Their empirical results show that the overall effect of exchange rates on total investment is statistically insignificant. Further investigation reveals the non-uniform investment response to exchange rate movements in three channels. First, it is important to distinguish between environments that have low and high exchange rate volatilities. Through changes in output demands, depreciations would have a positive effect on total investment when the exchange rate volatility is low. Yet, this stimulative effect becomes considerably smaller as the volatility increases. Second, these results for total investment are mainly due to movements in other machinery and equipment, and not to investment in information technology and structures. Third, investment in industries with low markup ratios are more likely to be affected by exchange rate movements.

Suggested Citation

  • Tarek Harchaoui & Faouzi Tarkhani & Terence Yuen, 2005. "The Effects of the Exchange Rate on Investment: Evidence from Canadian Manufacturing Industries," Staff Working Papers 05-22, Bank of Canada.
    • Handle: RePEc:bca:bocawp:05-22
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    3. Eliane Cristina de Araújo, 2011. "Volatilidade Cambial e Crescimento Econômico: Teorias e Evidências para Economias em Desenvolvimento e Emergentes (1980 e 2007)," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 12(2), pages 187-213.
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    6. Nikolaos Sariannidis & Ioannis Koskosas & Nikos Kartalis & George Konteos, 2009. "Macroeconomic effects on D.J.S.I.-World Returns," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), International Hellenic University (IHU), Kavala Campus, Greece (formerly Eastern Macedonia and Thrace Institute of Technology - EMaTTech), vol. 2(2), pages 95-110, December.
    7. Peter Ubi & Ishaku Rimamtanung Nyiputen, 2020. "Uncovered Interest Rate Parity and Investment: A Tripartite Analysis of Nigeria, United States of America and China," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(2), pages 111-127, April.
    8. Akinlo, Anthony E. & Onatunji, Olufemi G., 2020. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Domestic Investment: Evidence from Twelve ECOWAS Countries," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 8(2), July.
    9. Eric C. Y. Ng & Malick Souare, 2014. "On investment and exchange-rate movements," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(19), pages 2301-2315, July.
    10. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Jungho Baek, 2020. "On the asymmetric effects of the real exchange rate on domestic investment in G7 countries," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(4), pages 303-318, December.
    11. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Jungho Baek, 2021. "Exchange rate volatility and domestic investment in G7: are the effects asymmetric?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(3), pages 775-799, August.
    12. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2017. "Asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes: a survey," BIS Working Papers 676, Bank for International Settlements.
    13. Ibrahima Amadou DIALLO, 2015. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Investment: A Panel Data Cointegration Approach," Expert Journal of Economics, Sprint Investify, vol. 3(2), pages 127-135.
    14. Loretta Fung & Jen Baggs & Eugene Beaulieu, 2011. "Plant Scale and Exchange‐Rate‐Induced Productivity Growth," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(4), pages 1197-1230, December.
    15. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Seyed Hesam Ghodsi, 2019. "On the Link between Value of the Dollar and Housing Production in the U.S.: Evidence from State Level Data," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 22(2), pages 231-274.
    16. Sirikul Tulasombat & Somchai Ratanakomut, 2015. "The Effect of Exchange Rates on Agricultural Goods for Export: A Case of Thailand," Information Management and Business Review, AMH International, vol. 7(1), pages 1-11.
    17. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Ferda Halicioglu & Rebecca Neumann, 2018. "Domestic investment responses to changes in the real exchange rate: Asymmetries of appreciation versus depreciation," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(4), pages 362-375, October.
    18. Bakari, Sayef, 2022. "The Nexus between Domestic Investment and Economic Growth in Developed Countries: Do Exports matter?," MPRA Paper 114394, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Carolina Troncoso Baltar & Celio Hiratuka & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2014. "Investment in the Brazilian manufacturing industry and the real exchange rate: An investigation using sectoral-level panel data," Competence Centre on Money, Trade, Finance and Development 1408, Hochschule fuer Technik und Wirtschaft, Berlin.
    20. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee and Abera Gelan, 2019. "On The Link between Real Exchange Rate and Domestic Investment: Asymmetric Evidence from Africa," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 44(3), pages 1-17, September.
    21. Abdur R. Chowdhury & Mark Wheeler, 2015. "The impact of output and exchange rate volatility on fixed private investment: evidence from selected G7 countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(25), pages 2628-2641, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rates; Domestic demand and components;

    JEL classification:

    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity

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