IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/avg/wpaper/en16256.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Socioeconomic and spatially-explicit assessment of Nature-related risks: the case of South Africa

Author

Listed:
  • Julien CALAS
  • Antoine GODIN
  • Paul Hadji-Lazaro
  • Pamela SEKESE
  • Andrew SKOWNO

Abstract

This study introduces new methods for evaluating nature-related socioeconomic risks in the South African context, anchored on two main contributions. Firstly, it embarks on a multidimensional analysis of the exposure of several macro-financial and social variables to nature-related risks. Based on Environmentally Extended Input-Output tables and socioeconomic satellite accounts, the analysis identifies how physical and transition risks could exert significant impacts on directly and indirectly sectors essential for domestic and international supply chains but also for employment and fiscal revenues. Secondly, the research extends to a more granular spatially-explicit assessment, at the municipality level, of socioeconomic vulnerabilities related to water scarcity and the protection of terrestrial ecosystems. Results localize socioeconomic exposures through key sectors, especially in Mpumalanga. These two intertwined facets underline the importance of a holistic approach to nature-related risks, combining economists and ecologists' knowledge, and able to emphasize the intertwined goals of economic prosperity, social stability, and environmental sustainability.

Suggested Citation

  • Julien CALAS & Antoine GODIN & Paul Hadji-Lazaro & Pamela SEKESE & Andrew SKOWNO, 2023. "Socioeconomic and spatially-explicit assessment of Nature-related risks: the case of South Africa," Working Paper 199e7bd0-7dfd-4a54-bc1d-9, Agence française de développement.
    • Handle: RePEc:avg:wpaper:en16256
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.afd.fr/sites/afd/files/2023-12-10-11-03/Socioeconomic-and-spatially-explicit-assessment-of-Nature-related-risks_South-Africa.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cahen-Fourot, Louison & Campiglio, Emanuele & Godin, Antoine & Kemp-Benedict, Eric & Trsek, Stefan, 2021. "Capital stranding cascades: The impact of decarbonisation on productive asset utilisation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    2. Beirne, John & Renzhi, Nuobu & Volz, Ulrich, 2021. "Feeling the heat: Climate risks and the cost of sovereign borrowing," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 920-936.
    3. Steven M. Fazzari & R. Glenn Hubbard & Bruce C. Petersen, 1988. "Financing Constraints and Corporate Investment," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 19(1), pages 141-206.
    4. Julien CALAS & Antoine GODIN & Julie MAURIN (AFD) & and Etienne ESPAGNE (World Bank), 2022. "Global biodiversity scenarios: what do they tell us for biodiversity-related socioeconomic impacts?," Working Paper 1a39419b-ef1d-4b82-a7be-d, Agence française de développement.
    5. Julien CALAS & Etienne ESPAGNE & Antoine GODIN & Julie MAURIN, 2022. "Global biodiversity scenarios: what do they tell us for Biodiversity-Related Financial Risks?," Working Paper a562217f-0f0e-4965-beb8-5, Agence française de développement.
    6. Paolo Mauro & Jan Zilinsky, 2016. "Reducing Government Debt Ratios in an Era of Low Growth," Policy Briefs PB16-10, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    7. Andrew Luke Skowno & Maphale Stella Monyeki, 2021. "South Africa’s Red List of Terrestrial Ecosystems (RLEs)," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-14, October.
    8. Manfred Lenzen & Arne Geschke & James West & Jacob Fry & Arunima Malik & Stefan Giljum & Llorenç Milà i Canals & Pablo Piñero & Stephan Lutter & Thomas Wiedmann & Mengyu Li & Maartje Sevenster & Janez, 2022. "Implementing the material footprint to measure progress towards Sustainable Development Goals 8 and 12," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 5(2), pages 157-166, February.
    9. Magacho, Guilherme & Espagne, Etienne & Godin, Antoine & Mantes, Achilleas & Yilmaz, Devrim, 2023. "Macroeconomic exposure of developing economies to low-carbon transition," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Chih-Wei & Thinh, Bui Tien, 2023. "Green development, climate risks, and cash flow: International evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    2. Siamak Javadi & Abdullah‐Al Masum & Mohsen Aram & Ramesh P. Rao, 2023. "Climate change and corporate cash holdings: Global evidence," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 52(2), pages 253-295, June.
    3. Gregor Semieniuk & Emanuele Campiglio & Jean‐Francois Mercure & Ulrich Volz & Neil R. Edwards, 2021. "Low‐carbon transition risks for finance," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 12(1), January.
    4. Mathilde Salin & Katie Kedward & Nepomuk Dunz, 2024. "Assessing Integrated Assessment Models for Building Global Nature-Economy Scenarios," Working papers 959, Banque de France.
    5. Hadji-Lazaro, Paul & Salin, Mathilde & Svartzman, Romain & Espagne, Etienne & Gauthey, Julien & Berger, Joshua & Calas, Julien & Godin, Antoine & Vallier, Antoine, 2024. "Biodiversity loss and financial stability as a new frontier for central banks: An exploration for France," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    6. Sevcan Yesiltas, 2009. "Financing Constraints and Investment: The Case of Turkish Manufacturing Firms," 2009 Meeting Papers 874, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. John Rand, 2007. "‘Credit Constraints and Determinants of the Cost of Capital in Vietnamese Manufacturing’," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 1-13, June.
    8. Sylvain Catherine & Thomas Chaney & Zongbo Huang & David Sraer & David Thesmar, 2022. "Quantifying Reduced‐Form Evidence on Collateral Constraints," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(4), pages 2143-2181, August.
    9. Fang, Yiwei & Francis, Bill & Hasan, Iftekhar, 2012. "More than connectedness : Heterogeneity of CEO social network and firm value," Research Discussion Papers 26/2012, Bank of Finland.
    10. Eleonora Bartoloni, 2013. "Capital structure and innovation: causality and determinants," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 40(1), pages 111-151, February.
    11. Lu, Yao & Zhan, Shuwei & Zhan, Minghua, 2024. "Has FinTech changed the sensitivity of corporate investment to interest rates?—Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    12. Shabir, Mohsin & Jiang, Ping & Shahab, Yasir & Wang, Wenhao & Işık, Özcan & Mehroush, Iqra, 2024. "Diversification and bank stability: Role of political instability and climate risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 63-92.
    13. Abhaysingh Chavan & Rajendra R. Vaidya, 2003. "Financial Liberalization in India and the Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Transmissionâ€," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 4(2), pages 221-243, September.
    14. Auerbach, Alan J. & Hassett, Kevin, 1991. "Recent U.S. investment behavior and the tax reform act of 1986: A disaggregate view," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 185-215, January.
    15. Filomena Pietrovito & Alberto Franco Pozzolo, 2021. "Credit constraints and exports of SMEs in emerging and developing countries," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 311-332, January.
    16. Martinsson, Gustav, 2010. "Equity financing and innovation: Is Europe different from the United States?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1215-1224, June.
    17. Korkeamaki, Timo & Koskinen, Yrjo & Takalo, Tuomas, 2007. "Phoenix rising: Legal reforms and changes in valuations in Finland during the economic crisis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 33-58, April.
    18. Boitan, Iustina Alina & Marchewka-Bartkowiak, Kamilla, 2022. "Climate change and the pricing of sovereign debt: Insights from European markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    19. Sara Balestri & Raul Caruso, 2024. "Vulnerability to Climate Change and Communal Conflicts: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa and South/South-East Asia," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 60(10), pages 1530-1556, October.
    20. French, Joseph J. & Fujitani, Ryosuke & Yasuda, Yukihiro, 2021. "Does stock market listing impact investment in Japan?," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Afrique du Sud;

    JEL classification:

    • Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:avg:wpaper:en16256. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AFD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/afdgvfr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.