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Valuing the Risk of Imperfect Information: Christchurch Earthquake

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  • Callum Logan

Abstract

Purpose - This is a background discussion and literature review relating to the application of methods to measure the impact of a significant earthquake event on house prices. The purpose of this review is to select an appropriate methodology to be applied to the assessment of earthquake impacts on Christchurch house prices. The results of this review will form part of a further research paper.Approach - Previous literature specific to hedonic modelling of earthquake events and their impact on housing is limited. Therefore, a wider review of natural disaster events and types of methodologies used are undertaken in this paper.Findings - The Christchurch earthquake land zoning process combined with government compensation that followed the 2010 earthquake is unique. The literature review suggests that a hedonic pricing modelling using a Difference-in Difference specification may be the most appropriate model for an event of this nature. Value of research - It is anticipated that the outcomes of the proposed further research will assist in the identification of risk management strategies for the insurance industry, central and local governments. This type of research also has relevance for other earthquake prone cities as well and the methodologies could also be applied to other natural disaster risks such as floods, hurricane and storm surge risk zones along coastlines.

Suggested Citation

  • Callum Logan, 2013. "Valuing the Risk of Imperfect Information: Christchurch Earthquake," ERES eres2013_32, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    • Handle: RePEc:arz:wpaper:eres2013_32
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cho, Seong-Hoon & Chen, Zhuo & Yen, Steven T. & Eastwood, David B., 2006. "Estimating Effects of an Urban Growth Boundary on Land Development," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 38(2), pages 287-298, August.
    2. Brookshire, David S & Thayer. Mark A & Tschirhart, John & Schulze, William D, 1985. "A Test of the Expected Utility Model: Evidence from Earthquake Risks," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 93(2), pages 369-389, April.
    3. Dan R. Anderson & Maurice Weinrobe, 1986. "Mortgage Default Risks and the 1971 San Fernando Earthquake," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 14(1), pages 110-135, March.
    4. James C. Murdoch & Harinder Singh & Mark Thayer, 1993. "The Impact of Natural Hazards on Housing Values: The Loma Prieta Earthquake," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 21(2), pages 167-184, June.
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    JEL classification:

    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location

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