IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2609.05792.html

Scalable Clustered Network Connectedness with Control Variables: Theory and Application to Global Banking

Author

Listed:
  • Bastien Buchwalter
  • Francis X. Diebold
  • Kamil Yilmaz

Abstract

We extend the clustered connectedness framework of Buchwalter, Diebold and Yilmaz (2026) in two complementary directions that improve the robustness and interpretability of cross-cluster connectedness. First, we develop a diagnostic for residual ordering sensitivity by characterizing the distribution of cluster-level net connectedness across all admissible identification orderings and, in particular, by pairing first- and last-position orderings while holding fixed the relative ordering of all other clusters. Second, we introduce a dedicated cluster of control variables to absorb variation associated with observed common macro-financial factors while preserving the computational scalability of the clustered framework. The control cluster is fixed first, and bank innovations are residualized with respect to it before the remaining bank clusters are permuted and orthogonalized as usual, leaving the number of admissible bank-cluster identification strategies unchanged. Under the maintained recursive assumption that control-cluster innovations are contemporaneously exogenous to bank-cluster innovations, the remaining cross-cluster connectedness among the bank clusters can be interpreted as bank-to-bank transmission net of those observed common-factor shocks. We apply the methodology to seventy-one global banks grouped into seven regional clusters over 2003--2024. The treatment of common macro-financial factors materially affects both system-wide cross-group connectedness and cluster-level net positions. Placing the controls in a dedicated first cluster also substantially reduces paired first-versus-last ordering sensitivity across all seven bank clusters, with especially large reductions for the United States and the European clusters.

Suggested Citation

  • Bastien Buchwalter & Francis X. Diebold & Kamil Yilmaz, 2026. "Scalable Clustered Network Connectedness with Control Variables: Theory and Application to Global Banking," Papers 2609.05792, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2609.05792
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2609.05792
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bastien Buchwalter & Francis X. Diebold & Kamil Yilmaz, 2025. "Clustered Network Connectedness: A New Measurement Framework with Application to Global Equity Markets," Papers 2502.15458, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2025.
    2. Mathieu Jacomy & Tommaso Venturini & Sebastien Heymann & Mathieu Bastian, 2014. "ForceAtlas2, a Continuous Graph Layout Algorithm for Handy Network Visualization Designed for the Gephi Software," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(6), pages 1-12, June.
    3. Francis X. Diebold & Kamil Yilmaz, 2022. "On the Past, Present, and Future of the Diebold-Yilmaz Approach to Dynamic Network Connectedness," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2207, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bastianin, Andrea & Casoli, Chiara & Galeotti, Marzio, 2023. "The connectedness of Energy Transition Metals," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    2. Li, Zhaodong & Wang, Xin & Wang, Xinyu & Zhou, Yang & Lu, Yanling, 2026. "Tail risk spillovers between Chinese USD-denominated bond market and Chinese stock market from a frequency-domain perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    3. Duan, Zhengxiao & Zhang, Yanni & Deng, Jun & Shu, Pan & Yao, Di, 2023. "A systematic exploration of mapping knowledge domains for free radical research related to coal," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    4. Gong, Chen & Tang, Pan & Wang, Yutong, 2019. "Measuring the network connectedness of global stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    5. Vipul Kumar Singh & Pawan Kumar, 2026. "Crude oil and soft commodities volatility spillover patterns and portfolio diversification strategies in times of oil crises," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 12(1), pages 1-37, December.
    6. Chen, Yu-Fen & Lin, Fu-Lai & Yeh, Wen-Hung, 2024. "Intra- and inter-sector spillover effects within a supply chain: Evidence from Taiwan electric motorcycle industry," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    7. Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Hirs-Garzón, Jorge & Sanín-Restrepo, Sebastián, 2021. "Dynamic relations between oil and stock markets: Volatility spillovers, networks and causality," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 37-50.
    8. Hailemariam, Abebe & Ivanovski, Kris, 2025. "The dynamics of energy transition metals under climate policy uncertainty," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    9. Yang, Xin & Wang, Xuya & Cao, Jie & Zhao, Lili & Huang, Chuangxia, 2024. "Cross-regional connectedness of financial market: Measurement and determinants," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    10. Florentin Gloetzl & Ernest Aigner, 2015. "Pluralism in the Market of Science? A citation network analysis of economic research at universities in Vienna," Ecological Economics Papers ieep5, Institute of Ecological Economics.
    11. Martin, Drew & Palakshappa, Nitha & Woodside, Arch, 2019. "Consumer metaphoria: Uncovering the automaticity of animal, product/brand, and country meanings," Australasian marketing journal, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 113-125.
    12. Kamil Yilmaz, 2018. "Bank Volatility Connectedness in South East Asia," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1807, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    13. Costantini, Mauro & Maaitah, Ahmad & Mishra, Tapas & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2023. "Bitcoin market networks and cyberattacks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 630(C).
    14. Bilgin, Nuriye Melisa, 2025. "Inflation diffusion through supply chains," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    15. Nassar S. Al-Nassar & Abdulrahman A. Albahouth, 2023. "Inflation Spillovers among Advanced and Emerging Economies: Evidence from the G20 Group," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-25, April.
    16. Nicola Melluso & Andrea Bonaccorsi & Filippo Chiarello & Gualtiero Fantoni, 2021. "Rapid detection of fast innovation under the pressure of COVID-19," Papers 2102.00197, arXiv.org.
    17. Narayana Maharana & Ashok Kumar Panigrahi & Suman Kalyan Chaudhury, 2025. "Commodity Spillovers and Risk Hedging: The Evolving Role of Gold and Oil in the Indian Stock Market," Commodities, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-19, April.
    18. Yan, Weiwei & Zhang, Yin, 2018. "Research universities on the ResearchGate social networking site: An examination of institutional differences, research activity level, and social networks formed," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 385-400.
    19. Watanabe, Nicholas M. & Kim, Jiyeon & Park, Joohyung, 2021. "Social network analysis and domestic and international retailers: An investigation of social media networks of cosmetic brands," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    20. Yunzhi Lu & Iordanis Petsas & Jinghan Cai, 2025. "Environmental factors and financial market spillover," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 49(2), pages 568-612, June.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2609.05792. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.