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Nonparametric Identification of Demand without Exogenous Product Characteristics

Author

Listed:
  • Kirill Borusyak
  • Jiafeng Chen
  • Peter Hull
  • Lihua Lei

Abstract

We study identification of differentiated product demand from market-level data when product characteristics can be endogenous. Past work suggests nonparametric identification may be impossible: that is, in addition to standard price instruments, exogenous characteristic-based instruments are essentially necessary to identify sufficiently flexible demand models with standard index restrictions. We show, however, that price counterfactuals are nonparametrically identified using recentered instruments -- which combine exogenous price instruments with possibly endogenous product characteristics -- under a weaker index restriction and a new condition we term faithfulness. We argue that faithfulness, like the usual completeness condition for nonparametric instrumental variable identification, is best viewed as a technical requirement on the strength of identifying variation rather than a substantive economic or statistical restriction. We show the two conditions are closely related, though generally distinct. We conclude with several practical implications for the parametric estimation of demand counterfactuals.

Suggested Citation

  • Kirill Borusyak & Jiafeng Chen & Peter Hull & Lihua Lei, 2025. "Nonparametric Identification of Demand without Exogenous Product Characteristics," Papers 2512.23211, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2026.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2512.23211
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C36 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation
    • L13 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets

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