IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2411.11828.html

Reinterpreting Delay and Procrastination

Author

Listed:
  • Conrad Kosowsky

Abstract

I model a rational agent who experiences endogenous deadline pressure in the face of a fixed future deadline. The agent holds a resource stock, and opportunities to spend resources arise randomly according to a Poisson process. When the deadline is far away, the agent smooths consumption, but as the deadline approaches, the agent prioritizes current spending because of uncertainty about the future. The combination of concave utility and the agent's liquidity induces correlation aversion. Connecting the agent's risk and time preference is intuitive and leads to a model of procrastination where the agent overestimates their desire to spend resources.

Suggested Citation

  • Conrad Kosowsky, 2024. "Reinterpreting Delay and Procrastination," Papers 2411.11828, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2025.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2411.11828
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2411.11828
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Asen Kochov & Yangwei Song, 2023. "Intertemporal Hedging and Trade in Repeated Games With Recursive Utility," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(6), pages 2333-2369, November.
    2. Emmanuel Kemel & Corina Paraschiv, 2023. "Risking the future? Measuring risk attitudes towards delayed consequences," Post-Print hal-04385738, HAL.
    3. Thomas F Epper & Helga Fehr-Duda, 2024. "Risk in Time: The Intertwined Nature of Risk Taking and Time Discounting," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 22(1), pages 310-354.
    4. Kemel, Emmanuel & Paraschiv, Corina, 2023. "Risking the future? Measuring risk attitudes towards delayed consequences," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 325-344.
    5. Larry G. Epstein & Stanley E. Zin, 2013. "Substitution, risk aversion and the temporal behavior of consumption and asset returns: A theoretical framework," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 12, pages 207-239, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    6. Oscar Lau C., 2019. "Disentangling Intertemporal Substitution and Risk Aversion Under the Expected Utility Theorem," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(2), pages 1-14, June.
    7. Al-Najjar, Nabil I. & Shmaya, Eran, 2019. "Recursive utility and parameter uncertainty," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 274-288.
    8. Ned Augenblick & Matthew Rabin, 2019. "An Experiment on Time Preference and Misprediction in Unpleasant Tasks," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 86(3), pages 941-975.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lien, Donald, 2024. "Future time reference and risk aversion," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    2. John Armstrong & Cristin Buescu, 2019. "Collectivised Post-Retirement Investment," Papers 1909.12730, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2020.
    3. Asen Kochov & Yangwei Song, 2023. "Intertemporal Hedging and Trade in Repeated Games With Recursive Utility," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(6), pages 2333-2369, November.
    4. repec:kue:epaper:e-24-009 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Thomas J. Sargent & John Stachurski, 2024. "Dynamic Programming: Finite States," Papers 2401.10473, arXiv.org.
    6. Mohamed El Guide & Yassine Kaouane & Sonia Mun & Hayat Zouiten, 2025. "Attitudes towards natural sources of uncertainty for gains and losses," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 98(3), pages 405-445, May.
    7. Buss, Adrian, 2013. "Capital controls and international financial stability: a dynamic general equilibrium analysis in incomplete markets," Working Paper Series 1578, European Central Bank.
    8. Bansal, Ravi & Kiku, Dana & Yaron, Amir, 2016. "Risks for the long run: Estimation with time aggregation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 52-69.
    9. Hansen, Lars Peter, 2013. "Uncertainty Outside and Inside Economic Models," Nobel Prize in Economics documents 2013-7, Nobel Prize Committee.
    10. Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2017. "Common and country specific economic uncertainty," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 205-216.
    11. Benigno, Pierpaolo & Paciello, Luigi, 2014. "Monetary policy, doubts and asset prices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 85-98.
    12. Stefano d¡¦Addona, 2018. "Rational Ignorance in Long-run Risk Models," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 17(1), pages 43-54, June.
    13. Hernández, Juan R., 2025. "Covered interest parity: A forecasting approach to estimate the neutral band," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    14. Pashchenko, Svetlana & Porapakkarm, Ponpoje, 2020. "Saving Motives over the Life-Cycle," MPRA Paper 100208, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Luca De Gennaro Aquino & Sascha Desmettre & Yevhen Havrylenko & Mogens Steffensen, 2024. "Equilibrium control theory for Kihlstrom-Mirman preferences in continuous time," Papers 2407.16525, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
    16. Karantounias, Anastasios G., 2023. "Doubts about the model and optimal policy," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    17. Basso, Henrique S. & Jimeno, Juan F., 2021. "From secular stagnation to robocalypse? Implications of demographic and technological changes," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 833-847.
    18. Fujii, Masaaki & Takahashi, Akihiko, 2019. "Solving backward stochastic differential equations with quadratic-growth drivers by connecting the short-term expansions," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 129(5), pages 1492-1532.
    19. Benjamin Eden, 2004. "Substitution and Risk Aversion: Is Risk Aversion Important for Understanding Asset Prices?," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 0422, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
    20. Aase, Knut K., 2023. "Optimal spending of a wealth fund in the discrete time life cycle model," Discussion Papers 2023/7, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    21. Epstein, Larry G. & Zin, Stanley E., 2001. "The independence axiom and asset returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(5), pages 537-572, December.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2411.11828. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.