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Optimal Covariance Cleaning for Heavy-Tailed Distributions: Insights from Information Theory

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  • Christian Bongiorno
  • Marco Berritta

Abstract

In optimal covariance cleaning theory, minimizing the Frobenius norm between the true population covariance matrix and a rotational invariant estimator is a key step. This estimator can be obtained asymptotically for large covariance matrices, without knowledge of the true covariance matrix. In this study, we demonstrate that this minimization problem is equivalent to minimizing the loss of information between the true population covariance and the rotational invariant estimator for normal multivariate variables. However, for Student's t distributions, the minimal Frobenius norm does not necessarily minimize the information loss in finite-sized matrices. Nevertheless, such deviations vanish in the asymptotic regime of large matrices, which might extend the applicability of random matrix theory results to Student's t distributions. These distributions are characterized by heavy tails and are frequently encountered in real-world applications such as finance, turbulence, or nuclear physics. Therefore, our work establishes a connection between statistical random matrix theory and estimation theory in physics, which is predominantly based on information theory.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Bongiorno & Marco Berritta, 2023. "Optimal Covariance Cleaning for Heavy-Tailed Distributions: Insights from Information Theory," Papers 2304.14098, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2304.14098
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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2304.14098
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Joel Bun & Romain Allez & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Marc Potters, 2015. "Rotational invariant estimator for general noisy matrices," Papers 1502.06736, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2016.
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    5. D. Sornette & J. V. Andersen & P. Simonetti, 2000. "Portfolio Theory For "Fat Tails"," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(03), pages 523-535.
    6. Michele Tumminello & Fabrizio Lillo & Rosario Nunzio Mantegna, 2007. "Kullback-Leibler distance as a measure of the information filtered from multivariate data," Papers 0706.0168, arXiv.org.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bongiorno, Christian & Lamrani, Lamia, 2025. "Quantifying the information lost in optimal covariance matrix cleaning," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 657(C).

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