IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1910.06746.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Fundamental Analysis in China: An Empirical Study of the Relationship between Financial Ratios and Stock Prices

Author

Listed:
  • Lijuan Ma
  • Marcel Ausloos
  • Christophe Schinckus
  • H. L. Felicia Chong

Abstract

The informational context is regularly questioned in a transitional economic regime like the one implemented in China or Vietnam. This article investigates this issue and the predictive power of fundamental analysis in such context and more precisely in a Chinese context with an analysis of 3 different industries (media, power, and steel). Through 3 different kinds of correlation, we examine 25 financial determinants for 60 Chinese listed companies between 2011 and 2015. Our results show that fundamental analysis can effectively be used as an investment tool in transitional economic context. Contrasting with the EMH for which the accounting information is instantaneously integrated into the financial information (stock prices), our study suggests that these two levels of information are not synchronized in China opening therefore a door for a fundamental analysis based prediction. Furthermore, our results also indicate that accounting information illustrates quite well the economic reality since financial reports in each industry can disclose a part of stock value information in line with the economic situation of the industry under consideration.

Suggested Citation

  • Lijuan Ma & Marcel Ausloos & Christophe Schinckus & H. L. Felicia Chong, 2019. "Fundamental Analysis in China: An Empirical Study of the Relationship between Financial Ratios and Stock Prices," Papers 1910.06746, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1910.06746
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1910.06746
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Weale, Martin & Wieladek, Tomasz, 2016. "What are the macroeconomic effects of asset purchases?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 81-93.
    2. Beaver, Wh & Clarke, R & Wright, Wf, 1979. "Association Between Unsystematic Security Returns And The Magnitude Of Earnings Forecast Errors," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(2), pages 316-340.
    3. Beaver, Wh, 1968. "Information Content Of Annual Earnings Announcements," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6, pages 67-92.
    4. Yuan, Jiahai & Lei, Qi & Xiong, Minpeng & Guo, Jingsheng & Hu, Zheng, 2016. "The prospective of coal power in China: Will it reach a plateau in the coming decade?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 495-504.
    5. Franck Jovanovic & Christophe Schinckus, 2017. "Econophysics and Financial Economics," Post-Print hal-03541391, HAL.
    6. Grossman, Sanford J & Stiglitz, Joseph E, 1980. "On the Impossibility of Informationally Efficient Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(3), pages 393-408, June.
    7. Ball, R & Brown, P, 1968. "Empirical Evaluation Of Accounting Income Numbers," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(2), pages 159-178.
    8. Roy Cerqueti & Marcel Ausloos, 2015. "Cross Ranking of Cities and Regions: Population vs. Income," Papers 1506.02414, arXiv.org.
    9. Xiaoquan Jiang & Bong Soo Lee, 2012. "Do Decomposed Financial Ratios Predict Stock Returns and Fundamentals Better?," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 47(3), pages 531-564, August.
    10. Lin, Karen Jingrong & Karim, Khondkar E. & Carter, Clairmont, 2015. "Why does China's stock market have highly synchronous stock price movements? An information supply perspective," Advances in accounting, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 68-79.
    11. Jing Wang & Jim Haslam & Claire Marston, 2011. "The appraisal of ordinary shares by Chinese financial analysts," Asian Review of Accounting, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 19(1), pages 5-30, May.
    12. Marc†Gregor Czaja & Hendrik Scholz & Marco Wilkens, 2010. "Interest Rate Risk Rewards in Stock Returns of Financial Corporations: Evidence from Germany," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 16(1), pages 124-154, January.
    13. Carlos Omar Trejo Pech & Magdy Noguera & Susan White, 2015. "Financial ratios used by equity analysts in Mexico and stock returns," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 60(3), pages 578-592, julio-sep.
    14. Lewellen, Jonathan, 2004. "Predicting returns with financial ratios," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(2), pages 209-235, November.
    15. Ahsan Habib & Haiyan Jiang & Donghua Zhou, 2014. "Audit quality and market pricing of earnings and earnings components in China," Asian Review of Accounting, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 22(1), pages 20-34, April.
    16. Charles M. C. Lee & James Myers & Bhaskaran Swaminathan, 1999. "What is the Intrinsic Value of the Dow?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(5), pages 1693-1741, October.
    17. Eugene F. Fama, 1963. "Mandelbrot and the Stable Paretian Hypothesis," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 36, pages 420-420.
    18. Jovanovic, Franck & Schinckus, Christophe, 2017. "Econophysics and Financial Economics: An Emerging Dialogue," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780190205034.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kothari, S. P., 2001. "Capital markets research in accounting," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1-3), pages 105-231, September.
    2. Michael J. Gift & Paul Gift & YeQing Yang, 2010. "Financial Market Reactions To Earnings Announcements And Earnings Forecast Revisions: Evidence From The U.S. And China," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 4(2), pages 85-96.
    3. Zhang, Qiyu & Ding, Rong & Chen, Ding & Zhang, Xiaoxiang, 2023. "The effects of mandatory ESG disclosure on price discovery efficiency around the world," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    4. Byung T. Ro, 1989. "Earnings news and the firm size effect," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 6(1), pages 177-195, September.
    5. Pascal Dumontier & Bernard Raffournier, 2002. "Accounting and capital markets: a survey of the European evidence," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 119-151.
    6. Ruey S. Tsay & Yi-Mien Lin & Hsiao-Wen Wang, 2009. "Residual income, non-earnings information, and information content," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(6), pages 487-511.
    7. Jovanovic, Franck & Mantegna, Rosario N. & Schinckus, Christophe, 2019. "When financial economics influences physics: The role of Econophysics," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    8. Blankespoor, Elizabeth & deHaan, Ed & Marinovic, Iván, 2020. "Disclosure processing costs, investors’ information choice, and equity market outcomes: A review," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(2).
    9. Fargher, Neil & Wee, Marvin, 2019. "The impact of Ball and Brown (1968) on generations of research," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 55-72.
    10. C. José García Martín & Begoña Herrero Piqueras & Ana María Ibáñez Escribano, 2016. "The informational role of thin options markets: Empirical evidence from the Spanish case," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 43(2 Year 20), pages 233-263, December.
    11. Sadka, Gil & Sadka, Ronnie, 2009. "Predictability and the earnings-returns relation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1), pages 87-106, October.
    12. Tsung-Yu Hsieh & Tsai-Yin Lin & Fangjhy Li & Yi-Ting Huang, 2023. "Analyst’s Target Price Revision and Dealer’s Trading Behavior Analysis: Evidence from Taiwanese Stock Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-9, February.
    13. Fernando Rubio, 2005. "Eficiencia De Mercado, Administracion De Carteras De Fondos Y Behavioural Finance," Finance 0503028, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 23 Jul 2005.
    14. Thomas Schuster, 2003. "News Events and Price Movements. Price Effects of Economic and Non-Economic Publications in the News Media," Finance 0305009, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. stanley c. w. salvary, 2005. "The Accounting Variable And Stock Price Determination," Finance 0502011, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Howard Chan & Robert Faff & Alan Ramsay, 2005. "Firm Size and the Information Content of Annual Earnings Announcements: Australian Evidence," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(1‐2), pages 211-253, January.
    17. A. Rashad Abdel†Khalik, 1990. "Specification problems with information content of earnings: revisions and rationality of expectations and self†selection bias," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 7(1), pages 142-172, September.
    18. Ball, Ray & Brown, Philip, 2019. "Ball and Brown (1968) after fifty years," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 410-431.
    19. Das, Somnath & King, Alexander Z., 2021. "Measuring the informativeness of earnings announcements: The role of event windows," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 350-367.
    20. S. P. Kothari & Charles Wasley, 2019. "Commemorating the 50‐Year Anniversary of Ball and Brown (1968): The Evolution of Capital Market Research over the Past 50 Years," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(5), pages 1117-1159, December.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1910.06746. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.