IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1505.02039.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Structural default model with mutual obligations

Author

Listed:
  • Andrey Itkin
  • Alexander Lipton

Abstract

This paper considers mutual obligations in the interconnected bank system and analyzes their influence on joint and marginal survival probabilities as well as CDS and FTD prices for the individual banks. To make the role of mutual obligations more transparent, a simple structural default model with banks' assets driven by correlated multidimensional Brownian motion with drift is considered. This model enables a closed form representation for many quantities of interest, at least in a 2D case, to be obtained, and moreover, model calibration is provided. Finally, we demonstrate that mutual obligations have to be taken into account in order to get correct values for model parameters.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrey Itkin & Alexander Lipton, 2015. "Structural default model with mutual obligations," Papers 1505.02039, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1505.02039
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1505.02039
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Merton, Robert C, 1974. "On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 29(2), pages 449-470, May.
    2. Metzler, Adam, 2010. "On the first passage problem for correlated Brownian motion," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 80(5-6), pages 277-284, March.
    3. Black, Fischer & Cox, John C, 1976. "Valuing Corporate Securities: Some Effects of Bond Indenture Provisions," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 31(2), pages 351-367, May.
    4. Lewis Webber & Matthew Willison, 2011. "Systemic capital requirements," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Macroprudential regulation and policy, volume 60, pages 44-50, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. Andrey Itkin, 2013. "Efficient Solution of Backward Jump-Diffusion PIDEs with Splitting and Matrix Exponentials," Papers 1304.3159, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2014.
    6. Larry Eisenberg & Thomas H. Noe, 2001. "Systemic Risk in Financial Systems," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(2), pages 236-249, February.
    7. Alexander Lipton & Ioana Savescu, 2014. "Pricing credit default swaps with bilateral value adjustments," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 171-188, January.
    8. Andrey Itkin & Alexander Lipton, 2014. "Efficient solution of structural default models with correlated jumps and mutual obligations," Papers 1408.6513, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2014.
    9. Christophette Blanchet-Scalliet & Fr'ed'eric Patras, 2008. "Counterparty risk valuation for CDS," Papers 0807.0309, arXiv.org.
    10. Zhou, Chunsheng, 2001. "The term structure of credit spreads with jump risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(11), pages 2015-2040, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Alexander Lipton, 2020. "Old Problems, Classical Methods, New Solutions," Papers 2003.06903, arXiv.org.
    2. Zachary Feinstein & Andreas Sojmark, 2019. "A Dynamic Default Contagion Model: From Eisenberg-Noe to the Mean Field," Papers 1912.08695, arXiv.org.
    3. Vadim Kaushansky & Alexander Lipton & Christoph Reisinger, 2016. "Numerical analysis of an extended structural default model with mutual liabilities and jump risk," Papers 1701.00030, arXiv.org.
    4. Alexander Lipton, 2016. "Modern Monetary Circuit Theory, Stability Of Interconnected Banking Network, And Balance Sheet Optimization For Individual Banks," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(06), pages 1-57, September.
    5. Tathagata Banerjee & Zachary Feinstein, 2018. "Pricing of debt and equity in a financial network with comonotonic endowments," Papers 1810.01372, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2021.
    6. Alexander Lipton & Vadim Kaushansky & Christoph Reisinger, 2018. "Semi-analytical solution of a McKean-Vlasov equation with feedback through hitting a boundary," Papers 1808.05311, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2018.
    7. Christa Cuchiero & Christoph Reisinger & Stefan Rigger, 2021. "Optimal bailout strategies resulting from the drift controlled supercooled Stefan problem," Papers 2111.01783, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2022.
    8. Vadim Kaushansky & Alexander Lipton & Christoph Reisinger, 2017. "Transition probability of Brownian motion in the octant and its application to default modeling," Papers 1801.00362, arXiv.org, revised May 2018.
    9. Alexander Lipton, 2015. "Modern Monetary Circuit Theory, Stability of Interconnected Banking Network, and Balance Sheet Optimization for Individual Banks," Papers 1510.07608, arXiv.org.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alexander Lipton, 2015. "Modern Monetary Circuit Theory, Stability of Interconnected Banking Network, and Balance Sheet Optimization for Individual Banks," Papers 1510.07608, arXiv.org.
    2. Alexander Lipton, 2016. "Modern Monetary Circuit Theory, Stability Of Interconnected Banking Network, And Balance Sheet Optimization For Individual Banks," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(06), pages 1-57, September.
    3. Andrey Itkin & Alexander Lipton, 2014. "Efficient solution of structural default models with correlated jumps and mutual obligations," Papers 1408.6513, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2014.
    4. Vadim Kaushansky & Alexander Lipton & Christoph Reisinger, 2017. "Transition probability of Brownian motion in the octant and its application to default modeling," Papers 1801.00362, arXiv.org, revised May 2018.
    5. Bardoscia, Marco & Barucca, Paolo & Brinley Codd, Adam & Hill, John, 2017. "The decline of solvency contagion risk," Bank of England working papers 662, Bank of England.
    6. Vadim Kaushansky & Alexander Lipton & Christoph Reisinger, 2016. "Numerical analysis of an extended structural default model with mutual liabilities and jump risk," Papers 1701.00030, arXiv.org.
    7. Christopher L. Culp & Yoshio Nozawa & Pietro Veronesi, 2014. "Option-Based Credit Spreads," NBER Working Papers 20776, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Luca Benzoni & Lorenzo Garlappi & Robert S. Goldstein, 2019. "Asymmetric Information, Dynamic Debt Issuance, and the Term Structure of Credit Spreads," Working Paper Series WP-2019-8, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    9. Alexander Lipton, 2020. "Old Problems, Classical Methods, New Solutions," Papers 2003.06903, arXiv.org.
    10. Batten, Jonathan & Hogan, Warren, 2002. "A perspective on credit derivatives," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 251-278.
    11. Hackbarth, Dirk & Miao, Jianjun & Morellec, Erwan, 2006. "Capital structure, credit risk, and macroeconomic conditions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(3), pages 519-550, December.
    12. Jean-David Fermanian, 2020. "On the Dependence between Default Risk and Recovery Rates in Structural Models," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 140, pages 45-82.
    13. Samuel Chege Maina, 2011. "Credit Risk Modelling in Markovian HJM Term Structure Class of Models with Stochastic Volatility," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 1-2011, January-A.
    14. Hett, Florian & Schmidt, Alexander, 2017. "Bank rescues and bailout expectations: The erosion of market discipline during the financial crisis," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(3), pages 635-651.
    15. Abel Elizalde, 2006. "Credit Risk Models II: Structural Models," Working Papers wp2006_0606, CEMFI.
    16. Moraux, Franck, 2004. "Modeling the business risk of financially weakened firms: A new approach for corporate bond pricing," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 47-61.
    17. Battiston, Stefano & Delli Gatti, Domenico & Gallegati, Mauro & Greenwald, Bruce & Stiglitz, Joseph E., 2012. "Liaisons dangereuses: Increasing connectivity, risk sharing, and systemic risk," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 1121-1141.
    18. Mercadier, Mathieu & Lardy, Jean-Pierre, 2019. "Credit spread approximation and improvement using random forest regression," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 277(1), pages 351-365.
    19. Nystrom, Kaj & Skoglund, Jimmy, 2006. "A credit risk model for large dimensional portfolios with application to economic capital," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(8), pages 2163-2197, August.
    20. Carey, Mark & Gordy, Michael B., 2021. "The bank as Grim Reaper: Debt composition and bankruptcy thresholds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(3), pages 1092-1108.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1505.02039. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.