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Large deviations and stochastic volatility with jumps: asymptotic implied volatility for affine models

Author

Listed:
  • Antoine Jacquier
  • Martin Keller-Ressel
  • Aleksandar Mijatovic

Abstract

Let $\sigma_t(x)$ denote the implied volatility at maturity $t$ for a strike $K=S_0 e^{xt}$, where $x\in\bbR$ and $S_0$ is the current value of the underlying. We show that $\sigma_t(x)$ has a uniform (in $x$) limit as maturity $t$ tends to infinity, given by the formula $\sigma_\infty(x)=\sqrt{2}(h^*(x)^{1/2}+(h^*(x)-x)^{1/2})$, for $x$ in some compact neighbourhood of zero in the class of affine stochastic volatility models. The function $h^*$ is the convex dual of the limiting cumulant generating function $h$ of the scaled log-spot process. We express $h$ in terms of the functional characteristics of the underlying model. The proof of the limiting formula rests on the large deviation behaviour of the scaled log-spot process as time tends to infinity. We apply our results to obtain the limiting smile for several classes of stochastic volatility models with jumps used in applications (e.g. Heston with state-independent jumps, Bates with state-dependent jumps and Barndorff-Nielsen-Shephard model).

Suggested Citation

  • Antoine Jacquier & Martin Keller-Ressel & Aleksandar Mijatovic, 2011. "Large deviations and stochastic volatility with jumps: asymptotic implied volatility for affine models," Papers 1108.3998, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1108.3998
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Martin Forde & Antoine Jacquier, 2011. "The large-maturity smile for the Heston model," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 755-780, December.
    2. Bates, David S., 2000. "Post-'87 crash fears in the S&P 500 futures option market," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1-2), pages 181-238.
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    Cited by:

    1. Antoine Jacquier & Patrick Roome, 2015. "Black-Scholes in a CEV random environment," Papers 1503.08082, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2017.
    2. Antoine Jacquier & Aleksandar Mijatović, 2014. "Large Deviations for the Extended Heston Model: The Large-Time Case," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 21(3), pages 263-280, September.
    3. Romain Bompis & Emmanuel Gobet, 2012. "Asymptotic and non asymptotic approximations for option valuation," Post-Print hal-00720650, HAL.
    4. Forde, Martin, 2014. "The large-maturity smile for the Stein–Stein model," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 145-152.
    5. Antoine Jacquier & Mikko S. Pakkanen & Henry Stone, 2017. "Pathwise large deviations for the Rough Bergomi model," Papers 1706.05291, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
    6. Antoine Jacquier & Fangwei Shi, 2016. "The randomised Heston model," Papers 1608.07158, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
    7. Hamza Guennoun & Antoine Jacquier & Patrick Roome & Fangwei Shi, 2014. "Asymptotic behaviour of the fractional Heston model," Papers 1411.7653, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2017.
    8. Aleksandar Mijatovi'c & Peter Tankov, 2012. "A new look at short-term implied volatility in asset price models with jumps," Papers 1207.0843, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2012.
    9. Gaoyue Guo & Antoine Jacquier & Claude Martini & Leo Neufcourt, 2012. "Generalised arbitrage-free SVI volatility surfaces," Papers 1210.7111, arXiv.org, revised May 2016.
    10. Francesco Caravenna & Jacopo Corbetta, 2014. "General smile asymptotics with bounded maturity," Papers 1411.1624, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2016.

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