Finance Without Probabilistic Prior Assumptions
We develop the fundamental theorem of asset pricing in a probability-free infinite-dimensional setup. We replace the usual assumption of a prior probability by a certain continuity property in the state variable. Probabilities enter then endogenously as full support martingale measures (instead of equivalent martingale measures). A variant of the Harrison-Kreps-Theorem on viability and no arbitrage is shown. Finally, we show how to embed the superhedging problem in a classical infinite-dimensional linear programming problem.
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- Cox, John C. & Ross, Stephen A. & Rubinstein, Mark, 1979. "Option pricing: A simplified approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 229-263, September.
- Larry Epstein & Shaolin Ji, 2011.
"Ambiguous Volatility, Possibility and Utility in Continuous Time,"
1103.1652, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2013.
- Epstein, Larry G. & Ji, Shaolin, 2014. "Ambiguous volatility, possibility and utility in continuous time," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 269-282.
- Bick, Avi & Willinger, Walter, 1994. "Dynamic spanning without probabilities," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 349-374, April.
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