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Take me out: De facto limits on strict lockdowns in developing countries

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  • Eduardo Levi Yeyati

    (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella)

  • Luca Sartorio

    (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella)

Abstract

In the COVID-19 pandemic, lockdowns and containment measures were a fundamental tool to control the spread of the virus. In this article, we analyze data from 120 countries seeking to assess the stringency of de jure lockdown policies, comparing them with their de facto compliance and empirically analyzing the determinants of social distancing noncompliance. We find that, from a de jure perspective, almost all the strictest and longest lockdowns took place in emerging or developing economies. However, when analyzing its de facto compliance, we document a generalized and increasing non-compliance over time, which is significantly higher in emerging and developing economies. We show that lockdown compliance declines with time, and is lower in countries with stricter quarantines, lower incomes and higher levels of labor precariousness..

Suggested Citation

  • Eduardo Levi Yeyati & Luca Sartorio, 2020. "Take me out: De facto limits on strict lockdowns in developing countries," Working Papers 15, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
  • Handle: RePEc:aoz:wpaper:15
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    1. Mr. Pragyan Deb & Davide Furceri & Mr. Jonathan David Ostry & Nour Tawk, 2020. "The Effect of Containment Measures on the COVID-19 Pandemic," IMF Working Papers 2020/159, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kim, Kijin & Kim, Soyoung & Lee, Donghyun & Park, Cyn-Young, 2023. "Impacts of social distancing policy and vaccination during the COVID-19 pandemic in the Republic of Korea," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    2. Velasco, Andrés & Chang, Roberto & Martinez, Humberto, 2021. "Pandemics, Incentives, and Economic Policy: A Dynamic Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 15977, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Patricio Goldstein & Eduardo Levy Yeyati & Luca Sartorio, 2021. "Lockdown fatigue: The diminishing effects of quarantines on the spread of COVID-19," School of Government Working Papers 20210101, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
    4. Niembro, Andrés & Calá, Carla Daniela, 2020. "A first exploratory analysis of the regional economic impact of COVID-19 in Argentina," Nülan. Deposited Documents 3376, Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales, Centro de Documentación.
    5. Yasuhiro Hara, 2024. "Dynamic Relationship between Information Dissemination by Local Governors and Mobility during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Discussion papers ron373, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan.
    6. Lucas Rosso & Rodrigo Wagner, 2024. "How much does mobility matter for value-added tax revenue? Cross-country evidence around COVID-19," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 31(3), pages 841-855, June.
    7. Bara’ Abdallah AlShurman & Zahid Ahmad Butt, 2023. "Proposing a New Conceptual Syndemic Framework for COVID-19 Vaccine Hesitancy: A Narrative Review," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(2), pages 1-20, January.
    8. Jose Carlos Saavedra & Pablo Lavado & Sebastián Lindley & Liz Villegas, 2021. "Impacto de las medidas para la mitigación de la Covid - 19 en la Salud y en la Economía para Latinoamérica y Perú," Working Papers 181, Peruvian Economic Association.
    9. Sebastian Calonico & Juan Cruz Lopez Del Valle & Rafael Di Tella, 2024. "Risk factors for COVID-19 in-hospital mortality in Argentina: A competing risk survival analysis," PLOS Global Public Health, Public Library of Science, vol. 4(1), pages 1-16, January.

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