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Turkiye'de Enerji Uretiminde Fosil Yakit Kullanimi ve CO2 Emisyonu Iliskisi: Bir Senaryo Analizi


  • Hakan Cetintas

    (Kyrgyzstan-Turkey Manas University, Department of Economics)

  • I. Murat Bicil

    (Balikesir University, Department of Economics)

  • Kumru Turkoz

    (Balikesir University, Department of Economics)


Elektrik uretiminde fosil yakitlarin kullanimi CO2 emisyonlarinin artmasinda onemli etkenlerin basinda gelmektedir. Bu calismada Turkiye'de 1986-2013 yillari icin yillik veriler ele alinarak fosil yakitlarla CO2 emisyonlari arasindaki uzun donemli iliskiden yola cikilarak uretimde fosil yakit secimi ile ilgili farkli bilesimlere gore olusturulan senaryolara dayali CO2 emisyonu ongoruleri yapilmistir. Farkli uretim senaryolarina gore emisyondaki degismeleri hesaplamak icin Turkiye'de elektrik uretimi Box-Jenkins metodolojisi ile tahmin edilmis ve uretim projeksiyonu kullanilarak farkli yakit bilesimi senaryolari altinda CO2 emisyonlari hesaplanmistir. Buna gore elektrik uretiminde mevcut durumun devami, komure alternatif olarak dogal gaz kullanimi, komurden yenilenebilir enerjiye gecis gibi alternatif senaryolarin CO2 emisyonunu nasil degistirdigi uretim projeksiyonuna bagli olarak degerlendirilmistir.

Suggested Citation

  • Hakan Cetintas & I. Murat Bicil & Kumru Turkoz, 2017. "Turkiye'de Enerji Uretiminde Fosil Yakit Kullanimi ve CO2 Emisyonu Iliskisi: Bir Senaryo Analizi," EconWorld Working Papers 17002, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, revised Mar 2017.
  • Handle: RePEc:ana:wpaper:17002
    DOI: 10.22440/EconWorld.WP.2017.002

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Edmund Ntom Udemba & Naci İbrahim Keleş, 2022. "Interactions among urbanization, industrialization and foreign direct investment (FDI) in determining the environment and sustainable development: new insight from Turkey," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 191-212, February.

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    More about this item


    CO2 Emisyonlari; Enerji Uretimi; Fosil Yakitlar;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q2 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation
    • Q47 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy Forecasting

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