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The Effects Of Seasonal Adjustment Linear Filters On Cointegrating Equations: A Monte Carlo Investigation

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  • Otero, Jesus
  • Smith, Jeremy

Abstract

In this paper we assess, via Monte Carlo Simulations, the effects of some seasonal adjustment linear filters on cointegrating regressions. We find that the use of filters has adverse consequences in terms of the power of the Augmented Dickey and Fuller and Phillips and Perron tests of cointegration.
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  • Otero, Jesus & Smith, Jeremy, 1966. "The Effects Of Seasonal Adjustment Linear Filters On Cointegrating Equations: A Monte Carlo Investigation," Economic Research Papers 272847, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:uwarer:272847
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.272847
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    5. Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. (ed.), 1991. "Long-Run Economic Relationships: Readings in Cointegration," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198283393.
    6. Perron, Pierre, 1988. "Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series : Further evidence from a new approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 297-332.
    7. Peter C. B. Phillips & Bruce E. Hansen, 1990. "Statistical Inference in Instrumental Variables Regression with I(1) Processes," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 57(1), pages 99-125.
    8. Roberto Steiner Sampedro, 1988. "La Demanda Por Medios De Pago, Efectivo Y Depositos En Cuenta Corriente: 1967-1986," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 7(13), pages 69-85, June.
    9. Davidson, Russell & MacKinnon, James G., 1993. "Estimation and Inference in Econometrics," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195060119.
    10. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    11. Santiago Herrera A. & Juan Manuel Julio, 1993. "La demanda de dinero en el corto y en el largo plazo en Colombia," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, vol. 23(1), pages 91-107, April.
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    13. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
    14. Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. & Hylleberg, S. & Lee, H. S., 1993. "The Japanese consumption function," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 55(1-2), pages 275-298.
    15. Martha Misas & Rodrigo Suescún, 1993. "Funciones de demanda de dinero y el comportamiento estacional del mercado monetario," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 12(23), pages 55-79, June.
    16. Goldfeld, Stephen M. & Sichel, Daniel E., 1990. "The demand for money," Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: B. M. Friedman & F. H. Hahn (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 8, pages 299-356, Elsevier.
    17. Mankiw, N Gregory & Summers, Lawrence H, 1986. "Money Demand and the Effects of Fiscal Policies," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 18(4), pages 415-429, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Diego Winkelried Quezada, 2003. "Indicadores adelantados de la inflación en el Perú," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 345-382, octubre-d.
    2. Héctor A. Valle S., 2003. "Pronósticos de inflación para Guatemala hechos con modelos ARIMA y VAR," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 407-428, octubre-d.
    3. Cubadda, Gianluca, 1999. "Common Cycles in Seasonal Non-stationary Time Series," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(3), pages 273-291, May-June.
    4. Claudia Arguedas & Jorge Requena, 2003. "La dolarización en Bolivia: una estimación de la elasticidad de sustitución entre monedas," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 383-406, octubre-d.
    5. Jesús R. González García, 2003. "La dinámica del consumo privado en México: un análisis de cointegración con cambios de régimen," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 429-449, octubre-d.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods;

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C19 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Other

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