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Mixed Unit Roots and Deterministic Trends in Noncausality Tests

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  • Ran, Tao
  • Zapata, Hector O.

Abstract

Using Japanese economic data and a Monte Carlo simulation, this study analyzes the consequences of ignoring deterministic trends in mixed unit-root data for Granger noncausality tests. Results from an augmented VAR suggest over-rejection in certain empirically relevant cases at various sample sizes.

Suggested Citation

  • Ran, Tao & Zapata, Hector O., 2008. "Mixed Unit Roots and Deterministic Trends in Noncausality Tests," 2008 Annual Meeting, February 2-6, 2008, Dallas, Texas 6745, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:saeaed:6745
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.6745
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Toda, Hiro Y. & Yamamoto, Taku, 1995. "Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 225-250.
    5. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
    6. Lancaster, Kelvin, 1980. "Intra-industry trade under perfect monopolistic competition," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 151-175, May.
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