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Mixed Unit Roots and Deterministic Trends in Noncausality Tests

  • Ran, Tao
  • Zapata, Hector O.
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    Using Japanese economic data and a Monte Carlo simulation, this study analyzes the consequences of ignoring deterministic trends in mixed unit-root data for Granger noncausality tests. Results from an augmented VAR suggest over-rejection in certain empirically relevant cases at various sample sizes.

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    Paper provided by Southern Agricultural Economics Association in its series 2008 Annual Meeting, February 2-6, 2008, Dallas, Texas with number 6745.

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    Date of creation: 2008
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    Handle: RePEc:ags:saeaed:6745
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    1. Lancaster, Kelvin, 1980. "Intra-industry trade under perfect monopolistic competition," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 151-175, May.
    2. Judith A. Giles & Cara L. Williams, 2000. "Export-Led Growth: A Survey of the Empirical Literature and Some Noncausality Results, Part 2," Econometrics Working Papers 0002, Department of Economics, University of Victoria.
    3. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    4. Toda, Hiro Y. & Yamamoto, Taku, 1995. "Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 225-250.
    5. Judith A. Giles & Cara L. Williams, 2000. "Export-Led Growth: A Survey of the Empirical Literature and Some Noncausality Results, Part 1," Econometrics Working Papers 0001, Department of Economics, University of Victoria.
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