IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/pugtwp/332557.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Estimating the Economic Impact of the Ebola Epidemic: Evidence from Computable General Equilibrium Models

Author

Listed:
  • Evans, David K.
  • Ferreira, Francisco
  • Lofgren, Hans
  • Maliszewska, Maryla
  • Over, Mead
  • Cruz, Marcio

Abstract

Beyond the terrible toll in human lives and suffering, the Ebola epidemic which affected West Africa continues to have a measurable economic impact on several of the most economically fragile countries in the region. This paper uses two computable general equilibrium models to estimate the impact on West Africa as a whole, as well as specific impacts for the directly affected countries. Two alternative scenarios are used: a “moderate Ebola” scenario corresponding to the actual containment within the three most severely affected countries, and a “High Ebola” scenario corresponding to the damage that a slower containment in the core three countries and broader regional contagion might have brought. The paper discusses the implications for the macroeconomic resilience of the region, the distributional impacts of the epidemic within the most affected countries and the likely effect of the disease outbreak on the already hard task of fighting poverty in this region.

Suggested Citation

  • Evans, David K. & Ferreira, Francisco & Lofgren, Hans & Maliszewska, Maryla & Over, Mead & Cruz, Marcio, 2014. "Estimating the Economic Impact of the Ebola Epidemic: Evidence from Computable General Equilibrium Models," Conference papers 332557, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:332557
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/332557/files/7203.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Scott McDonald & Sherman Robinson & Karen Thierfelder, 2007. "Globe: A SAM Based Global CGE Model using GTAP Data," Departmental Working Papers 14, United States Naval Academy Department of Economics.
    2. Holger Görg & David Greenaway, 2016. "Much Ado about Nothing? Do Domestic Firms Really Benefit from Foreign Direct Investment?," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: MULTINATIONAL ENTERPRISES AND HOST COUNTRY DEVELOPMENT Volume 53: World Scientific Studies in International Economics, chapter 9, pages 163-189, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Lopez-de-Silanes, Florencio & Markusen, James R. & Rutherford, Thomas F., 1996. "Trade policy subtleties with multinational firms," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(8), pages 1605-1627, November.
    4. Francisco M. Veloso, 2006. "Understanding Local Content Decisions: Economic Analysis And An Application To The Automotive Industry," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(4), pages 747-772, October.
    5. Carl Davidson & Steven J. Matusz & Mordechai E. Kreinin, 1985. "Analysis of Performance Standards for Direct Foreign Investments," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 18(4), pages 876-890, November.
    6. Gary Clyde Hufbauer & Jeffrey J. Schott & Cathleen Cimino & Martin Vieiro & Erika Wada, 2013. "Local Content Requirements: A Global Problem," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number 6802, October.
    7. Gene M. Grossman, 1981. "The Theory of Domestic Content Protection and Content Preference," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 96(4), pages 583-603.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dorothee Flaig & Susan F. Stone, 2017. "Local Content Requirements Versus Tariff Equivalents: How We Measure Matters," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(5), pages 931-948, May.
    2. Kwon, Chul-Woo & Chun, Bong Geul, 2015. "The effect of strategic technology adoptions by local firms on technology spillover," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 13-20.
    3. Chul‐Woo Kwon & Bong Geul Chun, 2009. "Local Content Requirement under Vertical Technology Diffusion," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(1), pages 111-124, February.
    4. Qiu, Larry D. & Tao, Zhigang, 2001. "Export, foreign direct investment, and local content requirement," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 101-125, October.
    5. Issabayev, Murat & Rizvanoghlu, Islam, 2019. "Optimal choice between local content requirement and fiscal policy in extractive industries: A theoretical analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-8.
    6. Shiliang Cui & Lauren Xiaoyuan Lu, 2019. "Optimizing Local Content Requirements Under Technology Gaps," Service Science, INFORMS, vol. 21(1), pages 213-230, January.
    7. Jinji, Naoto & Mizoguchi, Yoshihiro, 2016. "Rules of origin and technology spillovers from foreign direct investment under international duopoly," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 47-60.
    8. Jung Hur & Yohanes E. Riyanto, 2004. "On the Role of Local Content Requirement in Defusing the Threat of Quid-Pro-Quo FDI," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 641, Econometric Society.
    9. Uros Delevic & Irina Heim, 2017. "Institutions In Transition: Is The Eu Integration Process Relevant For Inward Fdi In Transition European Economies?," Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, Eurasian Publications, vol. 5(1), pages 16-32.
    10. Macatangay, Rafael Emmanuel “Manny”, 2016. "Optimal local content requirement policies for extractive industries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 244-252.
    11. Rennkamp, Britta & Westin, Fernanda Fortes & Grottera, Carolina, 2020. "Política de conteúdo local e incentivos financeiros no mercado de energia eólica no Brasil," Documentos de Proyectos 45598, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    12. Irina Semykina, 2017. "Managing Regional Economic Development Through Local Content Requirements In Oil And Gas Industry," Economy of region, Centre for Economic Security, Institute of Economics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, vol. 1(2), pages 457-464.
    13. Nelson, Douglas & Puccio, Laura, 2021. "Nihil novi sub sole: The Need for Rethinking WTO and Green Subsidies in Light of United States – Renewable Energy," World Trade Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(4), pages 491-508, October.
    14. Berryl Claire Asiago, 2017. "Rules of Engagement: A Review of Regulatory Instruments Designed to Promote and Secure Local Content Requirements in the Oil and Gas Sector," Resources, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-19, September.
    15. Münch, Florian Anselm & Scheifele, Fabian, 2023. "Nurturing national champions? Local content in solar auctions and firm innovation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    16. Ornelas, Emanuel & Puccio, Laura, 2020. "Reopening Pandora's Box in Search of a WTO-Compatible Industrial Policy? The Brazil–Taxation Dispute," World Trade Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(2), pages 249-266, April.
    17. Ornelas, Emanuel & Puccio, Laura, 2019. "Reopening Pandora’s Box in Search of a WTO-Compatible Industrial Policy? The Brazil -Taxation Dispute," CEPR Discussion Papers 14042, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    18. Rod Falvey & Geoff Reed, 1998. "Economic effects of rules of origin," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 134(2), pages 209-229, June.
    19. Lopez-de-Silanes, Florencio & Markusen, James R. & Rutherford, Thomas F., 1996. "Trade policy subtleties with multinational firms," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(8), pages 1605-1627, November.
    20. Sjöholm, Fredrik, 2021. "Industrial Policy and Foreign Direct Investment," Working Paper Series 1400, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:332557. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/gtpurus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.