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Mit Optimierungsansätzen Bessere Entscheidungen Treffen? – Eine Empirische Analyse In Einem Planspiel

Listed author(s):
  • Schoenau, Franziska
  • Musshoff, Oliver

In diesem Beitrag wird der Frage nachgegangen, inwieweit Optimierungsansätze wie lineare Programmierungsmodelle geeignet sind, bessere Entscheidungen als reale Entscheider zu treffen. Auch beleuchtet werden Unterschiede im Entscheidungsverhalten und in den Produktionsstrategien. Dazu lassen wir ein gemischt-ganzzahliges lineares Programmierungsmodell (LP) und ein mehrperiodisches gemischt-ganzzahliges Programmierungsmodell (MLP) in einem Unternehmensplanspiel mit studentischen Teilnehmern konkurrieren. Es zeigt sich, dass die getesteten Optimierungsansätze tatsächlich erfolgreicher sind als die realen Entscheider im Durchschnitt. Allerdings übertreffen einzelne reale Entscheider die unter Anwendung von Optimierungsmodellen bestimmten Spielstrategien. Die Modelle wählen Produktionsstrategien, die sich zum Teil sehr stark von denen ihrer realen Konkurrenten unterscheiden. Inwieweit diese Ergebnisse aus dem Kontext der stark vereinfachten Planspielsituation auf reale wirtschaftliche Entscheidungssituationen übertragbar sind, muss noch geklärt werden.

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Paper provided by German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA) in its series 51st Annual Conference, Halle, Germany, September 28-30, 2011 with number 114520.

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Date of creation: 2011
Handle: RePEc:ags:gewi11:114520
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  1. Happe, Kathrin & Balmann, Alfons & Kellermann, Konrad & Sahrbacher, Christoph, 2008. "Does structure matter? The impact of switching the agricultural policy regime on farm structures," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 67(2), pages 431-444, August.
  2. Happe, Kathrin, 2004. "Agricultural policies and farm structures: agent-based modelling and application to EU-policy reform," Studies on the Agricultural and Food Sector in Transition Economies, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO), volume 30, number 14945, December.
  3. Kathrin Happe, 2005. "Agricultural policies and farm structures - agent-based simulation and application to EU-policy reform," Others 0504011, EconWPA.
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