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How Well Do Rational Expectations Storage Model Forecast Crop Ending Stocks?

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  • Zhang, Tianyang
  • Li, Ziran

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  • Zhang, Tianyang & Li, Ziran, 2018. "How Well Do Rational Expectations Storage Model Forecast Crop Ending Stocks?," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273803, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea18:273803
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.273803
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Botto, Augusto C. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2006. "Accuracy Trends and Sources of Forecast Errors in WASDE Balance Sheet Categories for Corn and Soybeans," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21332, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Clark, Todd E. & West, Kenneth D., 2007. "Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 291-311, May.
    3. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H. Irwin, 2013. "When do the USDA forecasters make mistakes?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(36), pages 5086-5103, December.
    4. Jinzhi Xiao & Chad E. Hart & Sergio H. Lence, 2017. "USDA Forecasts Of Crop Ending Stocks: How Well Have They Performed?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 39(2), pages 220-241.
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