IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/aap/wpaper/161.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Building portfolios of stocks in the São Paulo Stock Exchange usingRandom Matrix Theory

Author

Listed:
  • Leonidas Sandoval Junior
  • Adriana Bruscato
  • Maria Kelly Venezuela

Abstract

By using Random Matrix Theory, we build covariance matrices between stocks of the BM&F-Bovespa (Bolsa de Valores, Mercadorias e Futuros de S˜ao Paulo), which is cleaned of some of the noise due to the complex interactions between the many stocks and the finiteness of available data. We also use a regression model in order to remove the market effect due to the common movement of all stocks. These two procedures are then used to build stock portfolios based on Markowitz’s theory, trying to obtain better predictions of future risk based on past data. This is done for years of both low and high volatility of the Brazilian stock market, from 2004 to 2010.

Suggested Citation

  • Leonidas Sandoval Junior & Adriana Bruscato & Maria Kelly Venezuela, 2012. "Building portfolios of stocks in the São Paulo Stock Exchange usingRandom Matrix Theory," Business and Economics Working Papers 161, Unidade de Negocios e Economia, Insper.
  • Handle: RePEc:aap:wpaper:161
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://repositorio.insper.edu.br/handle/11224/5886
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tola, Vincenzo & Lillo, Fabrizio & Gallegati, Mauro & Mantegna, Rosario N., 2008. "Cluster analysis for portfolio optimization," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 235-258, January.
    2. Victor DeMiguel & Lorenzo Garlappi & Francisco J. Nogales & Raman Uppal, 2009. "A Generalized Approach to Portfolio Optimization: Improving Performance by Constraining Portfolio Norms," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(5), pages 798-812, May.
    3. Dickinson, J. P., 1974. "The Reliability of Estimation Procedures in Portfolio Analysis," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(3), pages 447-462, June.
    4. Frankfurter, George M. & Phillips, Herbert E. & Seagle, John P., 1972. "Estimation Risk in the Portfolio Selection Model: A Comment," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 7(1), pages 1423-1424, January.
    5. Conlon, T. & Ruskin, H.J. & Crane, M., 2007. "Random matrix theory and fund of funds portfolio optimisation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 382(2), pages 565-576.
    6. Pafka, Szilárd & Kondor, Imre, 2003. "Noisy covariance matrices and portfolio optimization II," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 319(C), pages 487-494.
    7. Frankfurter, George M. & Phillips, Herbert E. & Seagle, John P., 1971. "Portfolio Selection: The Effects of Uncertain Means, Variances, and Covariances," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(5), pages 1251-1262, December.
    8. Ester Pantaleo & Michele Tumminello & Fabrizio Lillo & Rosario Mantegna, 2011. "When do improved covariance matrix estimators enhance portfolio optimization? An empirical comparative study of nine estimators," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(7), pages 1067-1080.
    9. Sharifi, S. & Crane, M. & Shamaie, A. & Ruskin, H., 2004. "Random matrix theory for portfolio optimization: a stability approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 335(3), pages 629-643.
    10. Laurent Laloux & Pierre Cizeau & Marc Potters & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2000. "Random Matrix Theory And Financial Correlations," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(03), pages 391-397.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sandoval, Leonidas Junior & Bruscato, Adriana & Venezuela, Maria Kelly, 2012. "Building portfolios of stocks in the São Paulo Stock Exchange using Random Matrix Theory," Insper Working Papers wpe_270, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    2. Leonidas Sandoval Junior & Adriana Bruscato & Maria Kelly Venezuela, 2012. "Building portfolios of stocks in the S\~ao Paulo Stock Exchange using Random Matrix Theory," Papers 1201.0625, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2013.
    3. Leonidas Sandoval Junior & Italo De Paula Franca, 2011. "Correlation of financial markets in times of crisis," Papers 1102.1339, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2011.
    4. Sandoval, Leonidas & Franca, Italo De Paula, 2012. "Correlation of financial markets in times of crisis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(1), pages 187-208.
    5. Varga-Haszonits, Istvan & Caccioli, Fabio & Kondor, Imre, 2016. "Replica approach to mean-variance portfolio optimization," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 68955, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Sebastiano Michele Zema & Giorgio Fagiolo & Tiziano Squartini & Diego Garlaschelli, 2025. "Mesoscopic structure of the stock market and portfolio optimization," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 20(2), pages 307-333, April.
    7. Sebastiano Michele Zema & Giorgio Fagiolo & Tiziano Squartini & Diego Garlaschelli, 2021. "Mesoscopic Structure of the Stock Market and Portfolio Optimization," Papers 2112.06544, arXiv.org.
    8. Gautier Marti & Frank Nielsen & Philippe Donnat & S'ebastien Andler, 2016. "On clustering financial time series: a need for distances between dependent random variables," Papers 1603.07822, arXiv.org.
    9. Istvan Varga-Haszonits & Fabio Caccioli & Imre Kondor, 2016. "Replica approach to mean-variance portfolio optimization," Papers 1606.08679, arXiv.org.
    10. Joel Bun & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Marc Potters, 2016. "Cleaning large correlation matrices: tools from random matrix theory," Papers 1610.08104, arXiv.org.
    11. Monika Bours & Ansgar Steland, 2021. "Large‐sample approximations and change testing for high‐dimensional covariance matrices of multivariate linear time series and factor models," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 48(2), pages 610-654, June.
    12. Dai, Zhifeng & Wen, Fenghua, 2018. "Some improved sparse and stable portfolio optimization problems," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 46-52.
    13. Kondor, Imre & Pafka, Szilard & Nagy, Gabor, 2007. "Noise sensitivity of portfolio selection under various risk measures," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 1545-1573, May.
    14. Justo Puerto & Federica Ricca & Mois'es Rodr'iguez-Madrena & Andrea Scozzari, 2021. "A combinatorial optimization approach to scenario filtering in portfolio selection," Papers 2103.01123, arXiv.org.
    15. Liusha Yang & Romain Couillet & Matthew R. McKay, 2015. "A Robust Statistics Approach to Minimum Variance Portfolio Optimization," Papers 1503.08013, arXiv.org.
    16. Jacobs, Heiko & Müller, Sebastian & Weber, Martin, 2014. "How should individual investors diversify? An empirical evaluation of alternative asset allocation policies," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 62-85.
    17. Greyserman, Alex & Jones, Douglas H. & Strawderman, William E., 2006. "Portfolio selection using hierarchical Bayesian analysis and MCMC methods," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 669-678, February.
    18. Gautier Marti & Frank Nielsen & Miko{l}aj Bi'nkowski & Philippe Donnat, 2017. "A review of two decades of correlations, hierarchies, networks and clustering in financial markets," Papers 1703.00485, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
    19. N. C. Suganya & G. A. Vijayalakshmi Pai, 2010. "Pareto‐archived evolutionary wavelet network for financial constrained portfolio optimization," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(2), pages 59-90, April.
    20. Jyotirmayee Behera & Pankaj Kumar, 2024. "Implementation of machine learning in $$\ell _{\infty }$$ ℓ ∞ -based sparse Sharpe ratio portfolio optimization: a case study on Indian stock market," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 1-26, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aap:wpaper:161. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Biblioteca Telles (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/inspebr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.