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Aggregation bias and the repeat sales price index

In: Real estate indicators and financial stability

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  • Anthony Pennington-Cross

Abstract

This paper examines whether any consistent bias can be found in the creation of a repeat sales price index at the state level. This is done by comparing a transaction-based index with a housing-stock-based index. The housing-stock-based index weights each observed repeat transaction by the amount of housing it represents. Therefore, the aggregate or regional index should reflect the true appreciation of house prices.
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Suggested Citation

  • Anthony Pennington-Cross, 2005. "Aggregation bias and the repeat sales price index," BIS Papers chapters,in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Real estate indicators and financial stability, volume 21, pages 323-335 Bank for International Settlements.
  • Handle: RePEc:bis:bisbpc:21-25
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Michelle H. Dreiman & Anthony Pennington-Cross, 2004. "Alternative Methods of Increasing the Precision of Weighted Repeat Sales House Prices Indices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 28(4), pages 299-317, May.
    2. Englund, Peter & Quigley, John M. & Redfearn, Christian L., 1998. "Improved Price Indexes for Real Estate: Measuring the Course of Swedish Housing Prices," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 171-196, September.
    3. Deng, Yongheng, 1997. "Mortgage Termination: An Empirical Hazard Model with a Stochastic Term Structure," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 14(3), pages 309-331, May.
    4. David Genesove & Christopher Mayer, 2001. "Loss Aversion and Seller Behavior: Evidence from the Housing Market," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 116(4), pages 1233-1260.
    5. Pennington-Cross, Anthony, 2003. "Credit History and the Performance of Prime and Nonprime Mortgages," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 279-301, November.
    6. Gatzlaff, Dean H & Haurin, Donald R, 1997. "Sample Selection Bias and Repeat-Sales Index Estimates," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 14(1-2), pages 33-50, Jan.-Marc.
    7. Jesse M. Abraham & William S. Schauman, 1991. "New Evidence on Home Prices from Freddie Mac Repeat Sales," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 19(3), pages 333-352.
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    Cited by:

    1. William D. Larson, 2010. "Evaluating Alternative Methods of Forecasting House Prices: A Post-Crisis Reassessment," Working Papers 2010-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting, revised Feb 2011.

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