IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/natres/v48y2024i3p838-858.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Empowering Bangladesh: Illuminating the path to sustainable economic growth: Using a cutting‐edge non‐linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach

Author

Listed:
  • Muhammad Mehedi Masud
  • Rulia Akhtar
  • Sayema Sultana
  • Sonia Kumari Selvarajan
  • Abdullah Al‐Mamun

Abstract

Bangladesh, a developing country, is experiencing a rapid increase in its energy requirements due to its consistent economic growth in recent years. However, little is known about the economic contributions of access to electricity (AE), energy consumption (EC), and population growth (PG). In this study, the asymmetrical connection among PG, EC and electricity accessibility in Bangladesh is examined over a span of 36 years, from 1985 to 2021. The study used non‐linear ARDL cointegration methods as well as Granger Causality. For robustness, this study used Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Canonical Cointegrating Regression (CCR). The results reveal that PG has a notable favourable impact on economic growth, and conversely, a declining population also leads to a substantial positive influence on economic growth. Both favourable and adverse fluctuations in electricity accessibility exhibit detrimental effects on long‐term economic growth. Over the course of time, enhancing power accessibility has contributed to the rise in economic growth. Unfavourable EC shocks exhibit a meaningfully positive influence on economic growth in Bangladesh. Nevertheless, the positive EC shock does not have a notable impact on long‐term economic growth. The data also demonstrate bidirectional causality between PG and economic growth and EC and economic growth (EG). There is also a unidirectional causal link between PG and AE and EC and PG. The findings have significant policy ramifications for those in charge of making decisions in Bangladesh that would help the country achieve its economic goals by bolstering its energy industry.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Mehedi Masud & Rulia Akhtar & Sayema Sultana & Sonia Kumari Selvarajan & Abdullah Al‐Mamun, 2024. "Empowering Bangladesh: Illuminating the path to sustainable economic growth: Using a cutting‐edge non‐linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(3), pages 838-858, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:natres:v:48:y:2024:i:3:p:838-858
    DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12345
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/1477-8947.12345
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/1477-8947.12345?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Rashid, Mushab, 2017. "Energy consumption to environmental degradation, the growth appetite in SAARC nations," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 284-294.
    2. Villanthenkodath, Muhammed Ashiq & Mahalik, Mantu Kumar, 2021. "Does economic growth respond to electricity consumption asymmetrically in Bangladesh? The implication for environmental sustainability," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    3. Muhammad Azam, 2020. "Energy and economic growth in developing Asian economies," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(3), pages 447-471, July.
    4. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    5. Zubair Sadeque & Dana Rysankova & Raihan Elahi & Ruchi Soni, 2014. "Scaling Up Access to Electricity : The Case of Bangladesh," World Bank Publications - Reports 18679, The World Bank Group.
    6. Suleman Sarwar & Dalia Streimikiene & Rida Waheed & Ashwag Dignah & Asta Mikalauskiene, 2021. "Does the Vision 2030 and Value Added Tax Leads to Sustainable Economic Growth: The Case of Saudi Arabia?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-20, October.
    7. Ioana Anda Milin & Mariana Claudia Mungiu Pupazan & Abdul Rehman & Irina Elena Chirtoc & Nicolae Ecobici, 2022. "Examining the Relationship between Rural and Urban Populations’ Access to Electricity and Economic Growth: A New Evidence," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-16, July.
    8. Ozturk, Ilhan & Bilgili, Faik, 2015. "Economic growth and biomass consumption nexus: Dynamic panel analysis for Sub-Sahara African countries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 110-116.
    9. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    10. Pesaran, M.H., 2010. "Conditional Volatility and Correlations of Weekly Returns and the VaR Analysis of 2008 Stock Market," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1025, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    11. Sarwar, Suleman, 2022. "Impact of energy intensity, green economy and blue economy to achieve sustainable economic growth in GCC countries: Does Saudi Vision 2030 matters to GCC countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 30-46.
    12. Cosimo Magazzino, 2016. "The Relationship among Real Gross Domestic Product, CO2 Emissions, and Energy use in South Caucasus and Turkey," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(4), pages 672-683.
    13. Suleman Sarwar & Rida Waheed & Ghazala Aziz & Simona Andreea Apostu, 2022. "The Nexus of Energy, Green Economy, Blue Economy, and Carbon Neutrality Targets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-19, September.
    14. Peter Romilly & Haiyan Song & Xiaming Liu, 2001. "Car ownership and use in Britain: a comparison of the empirical results of alternative cointegration estimation methods and forecasts," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(14), pages 1803-1818.
    15. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2005. "The saving and investment nexus for China: evidence from cointegration tests," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(17), pages 1979-1990.
    16. Karanfil, Fatih & Li, Yuanjing, 2015. "Electricity consumption and economic growth: Exploring panel-specific differences," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 264-277.
    17. Suleman Sarwar & Dalia Streimikiene & Rida Waheed & Zouheir Mighri, 2021. "Revisiting the empirical relationship among the main targets of sustainable development: Growth, education, health and carbon emissions," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 419-440, March.
    18. Robert J. Barro, 2003. "Determinants of Economic Growth in a Panel of Countries," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 4(2), pages 231-274, November.
    19. Warsame, Abdimalik Ali & Sheik-Ali, Ibrahim Abdukadir & Mohamed, Jama & Sarkodie, Samuel Asumadu, 2022. "Renewables and institutional quality mitigate environmental degradation in Somalia," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 1184-1191.
    20. Abdulkadir Abdulrashid Rafindadi & Isah Buhari Aliyu & Ojonugwa Usman, 2022. "Revisiting the electricity consumption-led growth hypothesis: is the rule defied in France?," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 11(1), pages 1-23, December.
    21. N. Gregory Mankiw & David Romer & David N. Weil, 1992. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 107(2), pages 407-437.
    22. Adewuyi, Adeolu O. & Awodumi, Olabanji B., 2017. "Biomass energy consumption, economic growth and carbon emissions: Fresh evidence from West Africa using a simultaneous equation model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 453-471.
    23. Zhang, Ling & Berk Saydaliev, Hayot & Ma, Xiaoyu, 2022. "Does green finance investment and technological innovation improve renewable energy efficiency and sustainable development goals," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 991-1000.
    24. Sebastian Majewski & Urszula Mentel & Raufhon Salahodjaev & Marek Cierpiał-Wolan, 2022. "Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth: Evidence from South Asian Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-10, February.
    25. Waheed, Rida & Sarwar, Suleman & Dignah, Ashwaq, 2020. "The role of non-oil exports, tourism and renewable energy to achieve sustainable economic growth: What we learn from the experience of Saudi Arabia," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 49-58.
    26. Pesaran, Bahram & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2010. "Conditional volatility and correlations of weekly returns and the VaR analysis of 2008 stock market crash," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 1398-1416, November.
    27. Ibrahim D. Raheem & Agboola H. Yusuf, 2015. "Energy Consumption-Economic Growth Nexus: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Models in Selected African Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 5(2), pages 558-564.
    28. Raza, Syed Ali & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2015. "Energy conservation policies, growth and trade performance: Evidence of feedback hypothesis in Pakistan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1-10.
    29. Wu, Cheng-Feng & Wang, Chien-Ming & Chang, Tsangyao & Yuan, Chien-Chung, 2019. "The nexus of electricity and economic growth in major economies: The United States-India-China triangle," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    30. BOLOU Sessegnon Christian, 2022. "Access to Electricity and Economic Growth in the WAEMU: Causality Analysis," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 9(3), pages 43-54, August.
    31. Nguyen Minh Ha & Bui Hoang Ngoc, 2021. "Revisiting the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth nexus in Vietnam: new evidence by asymmetric ARDL cointegration," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(12), pages 978-984, July.
    32. Munir Ahmad & Rana Ejaz Ali Khan, 2019. "Does Demographic Transition with Human Capital Dynamics Matter for Economic Growth? A Dynamic Panel Data Approach to GMM," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 142(2), pages 753-772, April.
    33. Murat CETIN & Ibrahim DOGAN, 2015. "The Impact Of Education And Health On Economic Growth: Evidence From Romania (1980-2011)," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 133-147, June.
    34. Bashir, Muhammad Adnan & Sheng, Bin & Doğan, Buhari & Sarwar, Suleman & Shahzad, Umer, 2020. "Export product diversification and energy efficiency: Empirical evidence from OECD countries," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 232-243.
    35. Ahsan Anwar & Avik Sinha & Arshian Sharif & Muhammad Siddique & Shoaib Irshad & Waseem Anwar & Summaira Malik, 2022. "The nexus between urbanization, renewable energy consumption, financial development, and CO2 emissions: evidence from selected Asian countries," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(5), pages 6556-6576, May.
    36. E. Wesley F. Peterson, 2017. "The Role of Population in Economic Growth," SAGE Open, , vol. 7(4), pages 21582440177, October.
    37. Muhammad Azam, 2022. "Governance and Economic Growth: Evidence from 14 Latin America and Caribbean Countries," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 13(2), pages 1470-1495, June.
    38. Kasman, Adnan & Duman, Yavuz Selman, 2015. "CO2 emissions, economic growth, energy consumption, trade and urbanization in new EU member and candidate countries: A panel data analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 97-103.
    39. Islam, Md. Shafiqul & Al-Amin, Abul Quasem & Sarkar, Md. Sujahangir Kabir, 2021. "Energy crisis in Bangladesh: Challenges, progress, and prospects for alternative energy resources," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    40. Koçak, Emrah & Şarkgüneşi, Aykut, 2017. "The renewable energy and economic growth nexus in Black Sea and Balkan countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 51-57.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Minjing Yang & Cosimo Magazzino & Abraham Ayobamiji Awosusi & Navzodbek Abdulloev, 2024. "Determinants of Load capacity factor in BRICS countries: A panel data analysis," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(2), pages 525-548, May.
    2. Themba G. Chirwa & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2019. "The nexus between key macroeconomic determinants and economic growth in Zambia: a dynamic multivariate Granger causality linkage," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 301-327, July.
    3. Oluwatoyin Abidemi Somoye & Huseyin Ozdeser & Mehdi Seraj, 2024. "The asymmetric impact of fossil fuel and renewable energy consumption on life expectancy in Nigeria," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(2), pages 385-403, May.
    4. Li, Zhiyuan & Patel, Nikunj & Liu, Jiayang & Kautish, Pradeep, 2023. "Natural resources-environmental sustainability-socio-economic drivers nexus: Insights from panel quantile regression analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    5. Zhang, Shuyuan & Xie, Wenlan & Sun, Siying & Wu, Fan & Xue, Ying, 2024. "Nexus of green energy innovation, governance quality, and CO2 emissions in natural resource sector: The role of sustainable human development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    6. Themba G Chirwa & NM Odhiambo, 2019. "An Empirical Test Of Exogenous Growth Models: Evidence From Three Southern African Countries," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 64(220), pages 7-38, January –.
    7. Themba G. Chirwa & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2017. "Sources of Economic Growth in Zambia: An Empirical Investigation," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 18(2), pages 275-290, April.
    8. Karaaslan, Abdulkerim & Çamkaya, Serhat, 2022. "The relationship between CO2 emissions, economic growth, health expenditure, and renewable and non-renewable energy consumption: Empirical evidence from Turkey," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 457-466.
    9. Hinsene Lemma Wegari & Sisay Tolla Whakeshum & Negese Tamirat Mulatu, 2022. "Human Capital and its Impact on Ethiopian Economic Growth: ARDL Approach to Co-integration," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 12(4), pages 78-100.
    10. Ali, Amjad & Ur Rehman, Hafeez, 2015. "Macroeconomic Instability and Its Impact on Gross Domestic Product: An Empirical Analysis of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 71037, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. n.a.m, Naseem & m.s, Hamizah, 2013. "Exchange Rate Misalignment and Economic Growth: Recent Evidence in Malaysia," MPRA Paper 52447, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Md. Saiful Islam & Saleh Saud Alsaif & Talal Alsaif, 2022. "Trade Openness, Government Consumption, and Economic Growth Nexus in Saudi Arabia: ARDL Cointegration Approach," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, May.
    13. Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2012. "Does trade openness affect long run growth? Cointegration, causality and forecast error variance decomposition tests for Pakistan," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2325-2339.
    14. Vishal Sharma & Ashok Mittal, 2019. "Fiscal deficit, capital formation, and economic growth in India: a nonlinear ARDL model," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 46(4), pages 353-363, December.
    15. Rowland Tochukwu Obiakor & Kingsley Ikechukwu Okere & Obumneke Bob Muoneke & Nnamdi Chinwendu Nwaeze, 2022. "Accounting for the symmetric and asymmetric effects of FDI-growth nexus amidst financial crises, economic crises and COVID-19 pandemic: application of hidden co-integration," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-15, December.
    16. Kholeka Mdingi & Sin-Yu Ho, 2023. "Income inequality and economic growth: An empirical investigation in South Africa," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 2230027-223, June.
    17. Muhammad Qayyum & Yuyuan Yu & Mir Muhammad Nizamani & Saqlain Raza & Minhaj Ali & Shijie Li, 2023. "Financial Instability and CO2 Emissions in India: Evidence from ARDL Bound Testing Approach," Energy & Environment, , vol. 34(4), pages 808-829, June.
    18. Muhammad Umair & Waqar Ahmad & Babar Hussain & Valentin Marian Antohi & Costinela Fortea & Monica Laura Zlati, 2024. "The Role of Labor Force, Physical Capital, and Energy Consumption in Shaping Agricultural and Industrial Output in Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-26, August.
    19. Li, Songran & Shao, Qinglong, 2022. "Greening the finance for climate mitigation: An ARDL–ECM approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 1469-1481.
    20. Bosede Ngozi Adeleye & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2025. "Empirical assessment of methane emissions, socioeconomic factors, and infant mortality in Europe," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(1), pages 305-331, February.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:natres:v:48:y:2024:i:3:p:838-858. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://doi.org/10.1111/(ISSN)1477-8947 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.