IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/empleg/v22y2025i4p568-598.html

Government Venture Capital and Entrepreneurship: Evidence From China

Author

Listed:
  • Isabelle Zhang

Abstract

Government venture capital funds (GVCs) are a global phenomenon. GVCs are central players in China's VC market, now the second largest globally. While existing literature often depicts China's GVCs as a successful public effort to promote entrepreneurship, this paper presents an alternative view. It explores the effect of city‐level GVC programs on entrepreneurship, as proxied by the formation of new businesses. Using a hand‐collected 20‐year dataset covering GVC program adoption, early‐stage investments, and new firm formation in 280 prefectural cities and employing difference‐in‐differences and weighted stacked event study methods, I find that Chinese GVCs are associated with a decrease in overall new firm formation. Interview‐based evidence and a triple‐differences analysis by industrial sector suggest that this result is driven by stringent investment restrictions imposed by GVC programs, which absorb private sector capital into GVC funds targeting specific industries, thereby discouraging new firm formation in non‐policy‐supported sectors. These findings offer a cautionary note to global policymakers regarding the complexities of public finance strategies aimed at boosting entrepreneurship.

Suggested Citation

  • Isabelle Zhang, 2025. "Government Venture Capital and Entrepreneurship: Evidence From China," Journal of Empirical Legal Studies, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 22(4), pages 568-598, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:empleg:v:22:y:2025:i:4:p:568-598
    DOI: 10.1111/jels.70011
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/jels.70011
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/jels.70011?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. R. Andrew Butters & Daniel W. Sacks & Boyoung Seo, 2022. "How Do National Firms Respond to Local Cost Shocks?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(5), pages 1737-1772, May.
    2. Ge, Guoqing & Xue, Jian & Zhang, Qian, 2024. "Industrial policy and governmental venture capital: Evidence from China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    3. Clément de Chaisemartin & Xavier D'Haultfœuille, 2020. "Two-Way Fixed Effects Estimators with Heterogeneous Treatment Effects," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 110(9), pages 2964-2996, September.
    4. Cumming, Douglas J. & MacIntosh, Jeffrey G., 2006. "Crowding out private equity: Canadian evidence," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 569-609, September.
    5. Alex Hollingsworth & Krzysztof Karbownik & Melissa A. Thomasson & Anthony Wray, 2024. "The Gift of a Lifetime: The Hospital, Modern Medicine, and Mortality," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 114(7), pages 2201-2238, July.
    6. Manasi Deshpande & Yue Li, 2019. "Who Is Screened Out? Application Costs and the Targeting of Disability Programs," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 11(4), pages 213-248, November.
    7. Shai Bernstein & Xavier Giroud & Richard R. Townsend, 2016. "The Impact of Venture Capital Monitoring," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 71(4), pages 1591-1622, August.
    8. repec:bla:ecpoli:v:17:y:2002:i:34:p:229-270 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Gang Xu & Lixin Colin Xu & Ruichao Si & Ruiting Wang, 2025. "Career Incentives, Tournament Competition, and Performance Manipulation: Evidence from Chinese Cities," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 68(2), pages 459-498.
    10. Sabrina T. Howell, 2017. "Financing Innovation: Evidence from R&D Grants," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(4), pages 1136-1164, April.
    11. Emanuele Colonnelli & Bo Li & Ernest Liu, 2024. "Investing with the Government: A Field Experiment in China," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 132(1), pages 248-294.
    12. Massimo Colombo & Douglas Cumming & Silvio Vismara, 2016. "Governmental venture capital for innovative young firms," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 41(1), pages 10-24, February.
    13. Thomas Hellmann, 1998. "The Allocation of Control Rights in Venture Capital Contracts," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 29(1), pages 57-76, Spring.
    14. Huang,Yasheng, 2008. "Capitalism with Chinese Characteristics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521898102, August.
    15. Cumming, Douglas J. & Grilli, Luca & Murtinu, Samuele, 2017. "Governmental and independent venture capital investments in Europe: A firm-level performance analysis," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 439-459.
    16. James J. Heckman & Hidehiko Ichimura & Petra E. Todd, 1997. "Matching As An Econometric Evaluation Estimator: Evidence from Evaluating a Job Training Programme," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 64(4), pages 605-654.
    17. Michelle M. Miller, 2022. "The impact of paid sick leave laws on consumer and business bankruptcies," Journal of Empirical Legal Studies, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 19(4), pages 844-896, December.
    18. Zhang, Jing & Fan, Yueqi & Liu, Ye, 2024. "The effects of government venture capital: New evidence from China based on a two-sided matching structural model," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    19. Leland, Hayne E & Pyle, David H, 1977. "Informational Asymmetries, Financial Structure, and Financial Intermediation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 32(2), pages 371-387, May.
    20. Douglas Cumming & Sofia Johan, 2019. "Government venture capital research: fake science and bad public policy," Venture Capital, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 121-131, January.
    21. Colleen Honigsberg & Robert J. Jackson Jr. & Richard Squire, 2017. "How Does Legal Enforceability Affect Consumer Lending? Evidence from a Natural Experiment," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 60(4), pages 673-712.
    22. Laura Bottazzi & Marco Da Rin, 2002. "Venture capital in Europe and the financing of innovative companies [‘Robust financial contracting and the role of venture capitalists’]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 17(34), pages 229-270.
    23. John Armour & Douglas Cumming, 2006. "The legislative road to Silicon Valley," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 58(4), pages 596-635, October.
    24. Sun, Liyang & Abraham, Sarah, 2021. "Estimating dynamic treatment effects in event studies with heterogeneous treatment effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 175-199.
    25. Dongmin Kong & Ni Qin, 2021. "China’s Anticorruption Campaign and Entrepreneurship," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 64(1), pages 153-180.
    26. Baker, Andrew C. & Larcker, David F. & Wang, Charles C.Y., 2022. "How much should we trust staggered difference-in-differences estimates?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(2), pages 370-395.
    27. Suchard, Jo-Ann & Humphery-Jenner, Mark & Cao, Xiaping, 2021. "Government ownership and Venture Capital in China," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    28. Da Rin, Marco & Nicodano, Giovanna & Sembenelli, Alessandro, 2006. "Public policy and the creation of active venture capital markets," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(8-9), pages 1699-1723, September.
    29. Leleux, Benoit & Surlemont, Bernard, 2003. "Public versus private venture capital: seeding or crowding out? A pan-European analysis," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 81-104, January.
    30. Callaway, Brantly & Sant’Anna, Pedro H.C., 2021. "Difference-in-Differences with multiple time periods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 200-230.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Huang, Xiaoxia & Jiang, Yanchen & Mallick, Sushanta, 2025. "Endorsement and firm financing: Evidence from government venture capital market in China," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 57(3).
    2. Xia, Zhoubo & Hua, Xiuping & Wang, Yong & Peng, Jiadong, 2025. "Leading or facilitating? —— The appropriate role of governmental venture capital in China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    3. Li, Yuchen & Meng, Jiayin & Zhou, Ruifan & Wang, Ying, 2024. "Does governmental venture capital (GVC) advance green innovation? Big data evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 772-788.
    4. Elizabeth Webster & Alfons Palangkaraya & Paul H. Jensen & Russell Thomson, 2024. "The effects of university-industry collaboration subsidies on firm performance," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2024n14, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    5. Douglas Cumming & Sofia Johan, 2019. "Government venture capital research: fake science and bad public policy," Venture Capital, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 121-131, January.
    6. Fu, Xiaoqing Maggie & Harrison, Richard T. & Li, Dongfu Franco, 2022. "Venture capital investment in university spin-offs: Evidence from an emerging economy," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    7. Chen, Y. Joy & Gong, Robin Kaiji & Li, Jinlin, 2026. "Industrial policy in a new era: Government venture capital in the US–China trade war," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    8. Ge, Guoqing & Xue, Jian & Zhang, Qian, 2025. "Syndicate partner composition of governmental venture capital firms: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    9. Valérie Revest & Alessandro Sapio, 2012. "Financing technology-based small firms in Europe: what do we know?," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 39(1), pages 179-205, July.
    10. Carl Hase & Johannes Kasinger, 2024. "The Pass-through of Retail Crime," Papers 2407.07201, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
    11. Brehm, Johannes & Pestel, Nico & Schaffner, Sandra & Schmitz, Laura, 2025. "From Low Emission Zone to academic track: Environmental policy effects on educational achievement in elementary school," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    12. Li, Pei & Liu, Kaihao & Lu, Yi & Peng, Lu, 2025. "Organizing regulatory structure and local air quality: Evidence from the environmental vertical management reform in China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 139-164.
    13. Chen, Jidong & Shi, Xinzheng & Zhang, Ming-ang & Zhang, Sihan, 2024. "Centralization of environmental administration and air pollution: Evidence from China," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    14. Köppl, Stefan & Köppl-Turyna, Monika & Christopoulos, Dimitris, 2025. "The performance of government-backed venture capital investments," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(8).
    15. Robinson, Sarah & Tazhitdinova, Alisa, 2025. "One hundred years of U.S. state taxation," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    16. Melnik, Walter & Smyth, Andrew, 2024. "R&D tax credits and innovation," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    17. Jozef Konings & Aaron Putseys, 2026. "The impact of on-the-job training subsidies on firm-level outcomes: evidence from Flemish SMEs," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 66(3), pages 977-1003, March.
    18. Roth, Jonathan & Sant’Anna, Pedro H.C. & Bilinski, Alyssa & Poe, John, 2023. "What’s trending in difference-in-differences? A synthesis of the recent econometrics literature," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 2218-2244.
    19. Pengju Zhang, 2023. "The fiscal and economic impacts of municipal dissolution: evidence from New York," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 30(4), pages 948-1001, August.
    20. Daniela Rodrigues & Noemi Kreif & Ara Darzi & Mauricio Barahona & Erik Mayer, 2025. "Digitalization of Access to Primary Care: Is There an Equity‐Efficiency Trade‐Off?," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(10), pages 1943-1962, October.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:empleg:v:22:y:2025:i:4:p:568-598. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://doi.org/10.1111/(ISSN)1740-1461 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.