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The Cost of Consumer Collateral: Evidence From Bunching

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  • Benjamin L. Collier
  • Cameron M. Ellis
  • Benjamin J. Keys

Abstract

How do collateral requirements impact consumer borrowing behavior? Using administrative loan application and performance data from the U.S. Federal Disaster Loan Program, we exploit a loan amount threshold above which households must post their residence as collateral. Our bunching estimates suggest that the median borrower is willing to give up 40% of their loan amount to avoid posting collateral. Exploiting time variation in the threshold, we estimate collateral causally reduces default rates by 36%. Finally, we structurally estimate households' attachment to their homes, net of any equity, and find a median value of $11,000. Attachment creates a wedge between lender and borrower valuation of collateral of 15%. Our results explain high perceived default costs in the mortgage market, and document the importance of collateral for reducing moral hazard in consumer credit markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Benjamin L. Collier & Cameron M. Ellis & Benjamin J. Keys, 2025. "The Cost of Consumer Collateral: Evidence From Bunching," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 93(3), pages 779-819, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:emetrp:v:93:y:2025:i:3:p:779-819
    DOI: 10.3982/ECTA22303
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    2. Mikhed, Vyacheslav & Raina, Sahil & Scholnick, Barry & Zhang, Man, 2024. "Debtor income manipulation in consumer credit contracts," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    3. Benjamin Collier & Cameron Ellis, 2024. "A Demand Curve for Disaster Recovery Loans," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 92(3), pages 713-748, May.
    4. Jin, Ming & Chen, Fanglin & Chen, Zhongfei, 2023. "Cultural barriers in China's corporate loans," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    5. Slava Mikhed & Sahil Raina & Barry Scholnick & Man Zhang, 2022. "Debtor Fraud in Consumer Debt Renegotiation," Working Papers 22-35, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    6. Benjamin Collier & Sabrina T. Howell & Lea Rendell, 2024. "After the Storm: How Emergency Liquidity Helps Small Businesses Following Natural Disasters," Working Papers 24-20, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    7. Jiang, Erica Xuewei & Zhang, Anthony Lee, 2025. "Collateral value uncertainty and mortgage credit provision," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance
    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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