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Drug Violence and Migration Flows: Lessons from the Mexican Drug War

Author

Listed:
  • Sandra Orozco-Aleman
  • Heriberto Gonzalez-Lozano

Abstract

We examine the effect of the increase in violence that Mexico experienced after launching an aggressive campaign against drug-trafficking organizations on immigration into the United States. We instrument for violence using electoral cycles and consider two channels through which violence impacts migration: local and transit violence. Violence at the municipality of residence increased migration. Conversely, violence on the route to the United States deterred individuals from migrating. Back-of-the-envelope calculations show that between 2007 and 2012, local and transit violence had an overall positive effect on migration. Violence was responsible for a 1.53 percentage point increase in the migration rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Sandra Orozco-Aleman & Heriberto Gonzalez-Lozano, 2018. "Drug Violence and Migration Flows: Lessons from the Mexican Drug War," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 53(3), pages 717-749.
    • Handle: RePEc:uwp:jhriss:v:53:y:2018:i:3:p:717-749
    Note: DOI: 10.3368/jhr.53.3.0215-6948R4
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    File URL: http://jhr.uwpress.org/cgi/reprint/53/3/717
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Clemens, Michael A., 2021. "Violence, development, and migration waves: Evidence from Central American child migrant apprehensions," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    2. David Escamilla-Guerrero & Edward Kosack & Zachary Ward, 2023. "The Impact of Violence during the Mexican Revolution on Migration to the United States," NBER Working Papers 31531, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Di Maio, Michele & Leone Sciabolazza, Valerio & Molini, Vasco, 2023. "Migration in Libya: A spatial network analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    4. Duque, Valentina, 2019. "Violence and Children’s Education: Evidence from Administrative Data," Working Papers 2019-16, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
    5. Pardo Montaño, Ana Melisa & Dávila Cervantes, Claudio Alberto, 2023. "Efecto de la recepción de remesas en la violencia. Una aproximación para el caso de México," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 56, pages 33-50.
    6. Bucheli, José R. & Fontenla, Matías & Waddell, Benjamin James, 2019. "Return migration and violence," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 113-124.
    7. García-Ramos, Aixa, 2021. "Divorce laws and intimate partner violence: Evidence from Mexico," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    8. Arteaga, Julian & Shenoy, Ashish, 2022. "Mexican migration flows and agricultural labor markets in the U.S," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322311, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    9. Sandra Orozco-Aleman & Heriberto Gonzalez-Lozano, 2018. "Labor Market Effects of Immigration Policies Border Enforcement and Amnesty," Journal of Labor Research, Springer, vol. 39(2), pages 150-177, June.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers

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