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Temperature and Low-Stakes Cognitive Performance

Author

Listed:
  • Xin Zhang
  • Xi Chen
  • Xiaobo Zhang

Abstract

This study offers some of the first evidence in a developing country context that transitory exposure to high temperatures may disrupt low-stakes cognitive activities across a range of age cohorts. By matching eight years of repeated cognitive tests among all the participants in a nationally representative longitudinal survey in China with weather data according to the exact time and geographic location of their assessment, we show that exposure to a temperature above 32°C on the test date, relative to a moderate day within 22°C–24°C, leads to a sizable decline in their math scores by 0.066 standard deviations (equivalent to 0.23 years of education). Further, the effect on the math test scores is more salient for individuals who are older or less educated.

Suggested Citation

  • Xin Zhang & Xi Chen & Xiaobo Zhang, 2024. "Temperature and Low-Stakes Cognitive Performance," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 11(1), pages 75-96.
  • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jaerec:doi:10.1086/726007
    DOI: 10.1086/726007
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    Cited by:

    1. Gong, Jiaowei & Shi, Xiangyu & Wang, Chang & Zhang, Xin, 2025. "Extreme high temperatures and adaptation by social dynamics: Theory and evidence from China," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    2. Jose María Martínez & Victor Zuluaga & Alexander Buriticá, 2025. "Sweating Bullets: Heat, High-Stakes Evaluations, and The Role of Incentives," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 88(9), pages 2429-2467, September.
    3. Xiaojun Yu & Russell Smyth & Yao Yao & Quanda Zhang, 2024. "Water stress and industrial firm productivity: Evidence from China," Monash Economics Working Papers 2024-20, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    4. Ziheng Liu & Xi Chen & Qinan Lu, 2025. "Blowin’ in the wind of an invisible killer: long-term exposure to ozone and respiratory mortality in the USA," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 38(3), pages 1-30, September.
    5. Zhao, Caiyi & Zhang, Xin & Ma, Chao & Xu, Wei, 2025. "The impact of extreme high temperatures on ADRD hospitalization in Guangdong, China, 2017–2019," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    6. Mika Akesaka & Hitoshi Shigeoka, 2025. "Hotter Days, Wider Gap: The Distributional Impact of Heat on Student Achievement," Discussion Paper Series DP2025-07, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    7. repec:ags:aaea22:343559 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Miranda Montero, Juan Jose & Contreras, Cesar, 2025. "Impact of Heat Waves on Learning Outcomes and the Role of Conditional Cash Transfers : Evidence from Peru," Policy Research Working Paper Series 11171, The World Bank.
    9. Sergio Venegas Marin & Lara Schwarz & Shwetlena Sabarwal, 2024. "The Impact of Climate Change on Education and What to Do about It," World Bank Publications - Reports 41483, The World Bank Group.
    10. Zhang, Jingfang & Malikov, Emir & Miao, Ruiqing, 2024. "Distributional effects of the increasing heat incidence on labor productivity," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    11. Shi, Xiangyu & Zhang, Xin, 2025. "Extreme high temperatures, firm dynamics and heterogeneity, and aggregate productivity: The case of Chinese manufacturing," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • I24 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Education and Inequality
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects

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