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Was Ireland's Celtic Tiger Period Profit-led or Wage-led?

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  • Stephen Kinsella

Abstract

This paper examines the macroeconomic performance of the Irish economy in the years leading up to the Celtic Tiger period and afterward, from 1980 to 2011. The goal of the paper is to determine how a severe recession in the 1980s could be followed so quickly by the unprecedented boom years of the Celtic Tiger, and followed again by the marked economic downturn since 2007. I build a Keynesian model of growth that integrates effective demand and productivity regimes to allow for the possibility that a redistribution of income can either spur or retard growth, depending on whether the regime is wage-led or profit-led. Using data for the Irish economy I test this model for wage-led or profit-led growth, finding plausible evidence that the Celtic Tiger years were, in fact, profit led.

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  • Stephen Kinsella, 2013. "Was Ireland's Celtic Tiger Period Profit-led or Wage-led?," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(4), pages 572-585, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:revpoe:v:25:y:2013:i:4:p:572-585
    DOI: 10.1080/09538259.2013.837324
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Patrick Honohan & Brendan Walsh, 2002. "Catching Up with the Leaders: The Irish Hare," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 33(1), pages 1-78.
    2. Stephen Kinsella, 2012. "Is Ireland really the role model for austerity?," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 36(1), pages 223-235.
    3. Engelbert Stockhammer & Özlem Onaran & Stefan Ederer, 2009. "Functional income distribution and aggregate demand in the Euro area," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 33(1), pages 139-159, January.
    4. Engelbert Stockhammer & Özlem Onaran, 2012. "Rethinking wage policy in the face of the Euro crisis. Implications of the wage-led demand regime," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 191-203, September.
    5. Amit Bhaduri, 2007. "On the Dynamics of Profit- and Wage-led Growth," wiiw Working Papers 42, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
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    1. Woodgate, Ryan, 2021. "Profit-led in effect or in mere appearance? Estimating the Irish demand regime given the influence of multinational enterprises," IPE Working Papers 154/2021, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    2. Jochen Hartwig, 2014. "Testing the Bhaduri-Marglin model with OECD panel data," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 419-435, July.
    3. Ryan Woodgate, 2022. "Profit-led in effect or in appearance alone? Estimating the Irish demand regime given the influence of multinational enterprises," Review of Evolutionary Political Economy, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 319-350, July.
    4. Cárdenas, Luis & Fernández, Rafael, 2020. "Revisiting francoist developmentalism: The influence of wages in the Spanish growth model," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 260-268.

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