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Risk minimization in stochastic volatility models: model risk and empirical performance

Author

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  • Rolf Poulsen
  • Klaus Reiner Schenk-Hoppe
  • Christian-Oliver Ewald

Abstract

In this paper the performance of locally risk-minimizing delta hedge strategies for European options in stochastic volatility models is studied from an experimental as well as from an empirical perspective. These hedge strategies are derived for a large class of diffusion-type stochastic volatility models, and they are as easy to implement as usual delta hedges. Our simulation results on model risk show that these risk-minimizing hedges are robust with respect to uncertainty and misconceptions about the underlying data generating process. The empirical study, which includes the US sub-prime crisis period, documents that in equity markets risk-minimizing delta hedges consistently outperform usual delta hedges by approximately halving the standard deviation of the profit-and-loss ratio.

Suggested Citation

  • Rolf Poulsen & Klaus Reiner Schenk-Hoppe & Christian-Oliver Ewald, 2009. "Risk minimization in stochastic volatility models: model risk and empirical performance," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(6), pages 693-704.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:9:y:2009:i:6:p:693-704
    DOI: 10.1080/14697680902852738
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ke Nian & Thomas F. Coleman & Yuying Li, 2018. "Learning minimum variance discrete hedging directly from the market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(7), pages 1115-1128, July.
    2. Flavio Angelini & Stefano Herzel, 2015. "Evaluating discrete dynamic strategies in affine models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(2), pages 313-326, February.
    3. Chuang, Wen-I & Huang, Teng-Ching & Lin, Bing-Huei, 2013. "Predicting volatility using the Markov-switching multifractal model: Evidence from S&P 100 index and equity options," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 168-187.
    4. Leonidas S. Rompolis & Elias Tzavalis, 2017. "Pricing and hedging contingent claims using variance and higher order moment swaps," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 531-550, April.
    5. Maciej Augustyniak & Frédéric Godin & Clarence Simard, 2017. "Assessing the effectiveness of local and global quadratic hedging under GARCH models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(9), pages 1305-1318, September.
    6. Badescu, Alexandru & Elliott, Robert J. & Ortega, Juan-Pablo, 2014. "Quadratic hedging schemes for non-Gaussian GARCH models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 13-32.
    7. Dirk Becherer & Klebert Kentia, 2017. "Hedging under generalized good-deal bounds and model uncertainty," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 86(1), pages 171-214, August.
    8. Ewald, Christian-Oliver & Nawar, Roy & Siu, Tak Kuen, 2013. "Minimal variance hedging of natural gas derivatives in exponential Lévy models: Theory and empirical performance," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 97-107.
    9. Mozumder, Sharif & Dempsey, Michael & Kabir, M. Humayun & Choudhry, Taufiq, 2016. "An improved framework for approximating option prices with application to option portfolio hedging," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 285-296.
    10. Srikanth Iyer & Seema Nanda & Swapnil Kumar, 2013. "An Empirical Comparison of Two Stochastic Volatility Models using Indian Market Data," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 20(3), pages 243-259, September.
    11. Yunbi An & Wulin Suo, 2009. "An Empirical Comparison of Option‐Pricing Models in Hedging Exotic Options," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 38(4), pages 889-914, December.
    12. Hull, John & White, Alan, 2017. "Optimal delta hedging for options," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 180-190.
    13. Ceci, Claudia & Colaneri, Katia & Cretarola, Alessandra, 2017. "Unit-linked life insurance policies: Optimal hedging in partially observable market models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 149-163.
    14. Coqueret, Guillaume & Tavin, Bertrand, 2016. "An investigation of model risk in a market with jumps and stochastic volatility," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 253(3), pages 648-658.
    15. Martin Tegnér & Rolf Poulsen, 2018. "Volatility Is Log-Normal—But Not for the Reason You Think," Risks, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 6(2), pages 1-16, April.
    16. Alexandru Badescu & Robert J. Elliott & Juan-Pablo Ortega, 2012. "Quadratic hedging schemes for non-Gaussian GARCH models," Papers 1209.5976, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2013.
    17. Sai Hung Marten Ting & Christian-Oliver Ewald, 2013. "On the performance of asymptotic locally risk minimising hedges in the Heston stochastic volatility model," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(6), pages 939-954, May.
    18. Laurini Márcio Poletti, 2013. "A Hybrid Data Cloning Maximum Likelihood Estimator for Stochastic Volatility Models," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 5(2), pages 193-229, May.
    19. Yao Tung Huang & Yue Kuen Kwok, 2016. "Regression-based Monte Carlo methods for stochastic control models: variable annuities with lifelong guarantees," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(6), pages 905-928, June.
    20. Carol Alexander & Andreas Kaeck, 2012. "Does model fit matter for hedging? Evidence from FTSE 100 options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(7), pages 609-638, July.
    21. Kang, Boda & Ziveyi, Jonathan, 2018. "Optimal surrender of guaranteed minimum maturity benefits under stochastic volatility and interest rates," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 43-56.
    22. Carol Alexander & Alexander Rubinov & Markus Kalepky & Stamatis Leontsinis, 2012. "Regime‐dependent smile‐adjusted delta hedging," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(3), pages 203-229, March.
    23. Anatoliy Swishchuk, 2013. "Modeling and Pricing of Swaps for Financial and Energy Markets with Stochastic Volatilities," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 8660.
    24. Simon Ellersgaard & Martin Jönsson & Rolf Poulsen, 2017. "The Fundamental Theorem of Derivative Trading - exposition, extensions and experiments," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 515-529, April.
    25. Dirk Becherer & Klebert Kentia, 2016. "Hedging under generalized good-deal bounds and model uncertainty," Papers 1607.04488, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2017.

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